Polls, Sentiment, Prediction Markets

It’s of some interest to see how polls and prediction markets are viewing the presidential race, and how this links with economic sentiment. First polls and sentiment. Source: TheHill, accessed 4/17/2024. Source: U.Michigan via FRED, TradingEconomics, accessed 4/17/2024. Now, a prediction market. Below, I show PredictIt odds for Biden vs. Trump (omitting RFK Jr.), for … Continue reading Polls, Sentiment, Prediction Markets