Is U.S. monetary policy behind the surge in commodity prices?
Author Archives: James_Hamilton
Economic forecasting
The full post of the discussion about economic forecasting that I had with Professor Kashif Mansori of Colby College and Angry Bear is now up at the Wall Street Journal’s Econoblog. Here’s my bottom line:
Don’t ask for too much of your forecast or your policy, and it won’t disappoint you.
Or maybe you should read the whole thing.
When is it good to be a bad forecaster?
I’ve been engaged in a very interesting discussion with Kash at Angry Bear on economic forecasting which will appear in the Wall St. Journal’s Econoblog later this week. Kash has a couple of posts [1], [2] based on his contributions over at Angry Bear. Here are the remarks that I used to open the discussion:
Careful with that “e-waste”
As a service to California readers, I call attention to new state regulations on disposal of household waste.
Strange ideas about the Iranian oil bourse
The internet can be a good source of information about issues that aren’t adequately covered by the mainstream media. It can also be a font of considerable kookiness.
Oil market jitters
The February oil futures price on NYMEX has jumped $8 a barrel in the last three weeks. It’s useful to try to put this into a broader view of what’s going on in the world oil market.
The neoclassical paradigm
Do economists have a sensible way of thinking about the world?
Putting arcane symbols into Powerpoint presentations
I’ve just written up the Idiot’s Guide to Using Tex with Powerpoint. Here it is (it’s only one sentence long):
Download this, find the symbol you want, and copy and paste it into your presentation.
What’s the Fed waiting for?
The Fed is likely to stop raising rates soon. What will be the final signal that enough is enough?
2005: the oil shock that didn’t bite?
All but one of the recessions in the United States since World War II have been preceded by a dramatic increase in oil prices. Did we escape unscathed in 2005?