One Year Inflation Expectations Upside Surprise

Michigan 1 year expectations at 4.3% vs 3.3% Bloomberg consensus.

Figure 1: Year-on-Year CPI inflation (bold black), one year ahead Michigan (red), NY Fed (green), all in %. Source: BLS, U.Michigan and NY Fed.

A one percentage point increase in y/y expected inflation is over two standard deviations from expected.

One thought on “One Year Inflation Expectations Upside Surprise

  1. Macroduck

    In add, the 5-year inflation expectations index came in at 3.3%, matching early January and the highest reading since early June, 2022. Good thing the rapist-in-chief backed down on tariffs for Canada and Mexico. Too bad he now says he’ll impose reciprocal tariffs on everybody and eveything.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *