“How energy prices figure into the Fed’s interest rate decisions”

1 Reply

From MarketPlace today with Justin Ho, Claudia Sahm and I comment.

My remarks based on observation on betting. For SOFR:

For Fed funds:

One thought on ““How energy prices figure into the Fed’s interest rate decisions””

DAndersen March 12, 2026 at 12:40 pm

A little off-topic but relevant at the outset of a costly war, higher energy costs, and the loss of $175 Billion in annual tariff revenues lost from the Supreme Court decision–Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (FYOIGDA188S) is now at the highest level seen in our lifetimes.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYOIGDA188S

Will these pressures override whatever the Fed decides?

Reply ↓