Once again we’re seeing a big divergence between what the markets expect the Fed to do and what the Fed expects the Fed to do.
Author Archives: James_Hamilton
Jobs numbers disappoint
Was that the other shoe we just heard drop?
Open thread on declining Saudi oil production
An article I wrote on Saudi Arabia’s Ghawar oil field appears in the latest issue of Atlantic magazine. I’m putting up this post primarily to provide a forum for readers who might want to offer comments on that discussion.
Borrowing short and lending long
Here I elaborate on the description of the nature of current problems in financial markets that I offered at the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference last week.
August auto sales
August light-vehicle sales give us an early indication of how the real side of the economy is holding up under the financial turmoil that began August 9. And the results are not too bad, considering.
Another suggestion for the GSEs
George Washington University Professor Richard Green has another suggestion for addressing the market distortions generated by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae that I mentioned in my comments at Jackson Hole.
The Taylor Rule and the housing boom
Stanford Professor John Taylor presented another very interesting paper at the Jackson Fed conference.
Comments on Housing and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism
Here are the comments that I delivered this morning at the Fed Jackson Hole conference.
Bernanke and Gramlich on the subprime issue
Also featured yesterday at the Federal Reserve conference in Jackson Hole were speeches by Fed Chair Ben Bernanke and former Fed Governor Edward Gramlich.
Report from Jackson Hole
Here are some brief impressions about this morning’s papers at the Federal Reserve conference.