Via Midas Oracle, a neat map from Computational Complexity showing the current Tradesports probabilities for U.S. Senate outcomes. Like the graphics I collected here, this is continually updated live.
Monthly Archives: October 2006
One way or the other
Mixed signals this week leave Bernanke still needing to earn his pay.
Tales from the CBO (and the White House)
Investigating the numbers
Proposition 87 expenditures
Last week I discussed the way in which California’s Proposition 87, the Clean Alternative Energy Act, would raise revenues. Today I take a look at some of the implications of its proposed use of those funds.
How Strong Is (Was) the Dollar?
An alternative view on the dollar’s strength and trend over time.
Friday the thirteenth not so scary
The latest data on retail sales, tax receipts, and consumer sentiment all look consistent with the soft landing scenario.
Trends in Iraq
Casualties, force levels and expenditures
Proposition 87 tax plan
Sixteen of the 191 pages that Californians are asked to read in order to vote intelligently in the upcoming election are devoted to discussion of Proposition 87, the Clean Alternative Energy Act. This calls for $4 billion or more in new taxes and spending. In this post, I discuss only the tax side of this proposal, and hopefully will have an opportunity to take up the spending details in a sequel.
Perspective on the Employment Release and Preliminary Benchmark Revision
There was a lot of discussion surrounding the BLS’s benchmark revision. Dave Altig at Macroblog has an excellent review, while Ritholz at Big Picture is perturbed about the magnitude of the data revision. Without claiming to have greater insights into why the revision is so large, I do think a look at the context would be useful.
Following the U.S. elections
If you’re looking for an alternative to the talking heads and endless spinning, here are some quantitative tools for following the U.S. elections that I’ve found useful.