I know this is exactly the same title as this December post, but it still applies. The comparison to its neighbor Missouri throws in sharp relief the enormity of the Kansas catastrophe.
First, the better measured series from the establishment survey, nonfarm payroll employment.
And here is overall civilian employment from the household survey, which includes farmers as well as self-employed.
Figure 2: Log civilian employment in Kansas (red) and Missouri (blue), both normalized to 2011M01=0. Source: BLS and author’s calculations.
According to both of these employment series, Kansas is still performing poorly — all too predictable given the fiscal mess imposed by the Governor’s intransigence.
I will also note that the decline in employment is unsurprising given the fact that — based on the coincident index — Kansas looks like it is in recession, using a Markov switching model.
Chart 1. Business Cycles of Tenth District States, for Kansas and Missouri