FT-Booth Survey of Macroeconomists: Whose Platform Is More Inflationary/Deficit Expanding?

From the September survey, as shown in yesterday’s FT:

Source: C. Smith, FT, 14 Sep 2024.

It’s amazing to me that there’re 3% of respondents that say the Harris platform is more inflationary. Of course, with 37 respondents, that’s one economist. Almost as surprising is that 11% (3 respondents) say the Harris platform would induce larger deficits.

Forecasts of GDP from the survey are discussed in this post. Survey results are here (ungated).

 

 

 

 

11 thoughts on “FT-Booth Survey of Macroeconomists: Whose Platform Is More Inflationary/Deficit Expanding?

  1. pgl

    “It’s amazing to me that there’re 3% of respondents that say the Harris platform is more inflationary. Of course, with 37 respondents, that’s one economist.”

    I checked and Antoni was not on the list of those surveyed. Nor was Hassett, Kudlow, Laffer, Moore.

    Which leads to the question – who was this one economist?

    Reply
    1. Moses Herzog

      I am too lazy to do the web clicking at the moment. But it sure wouldn’t he terribly difficult to do the forensics to find out which prof on the 30 is to the extreme right, just go one by one on the list. It’s a rare prof that doesn’t give it away in their writings.

      Reply
      1. Moses Herzog

        Excuse me, which of the 37 respondents. Mind not working well today. It’s still summer folks and having my brain fried every afternoon doesn’t help. That’s my excuse, damn it all anyway.

        Reply
      1. pgl

        “we show that Blacks and Hispanics devote larger shares of their expenditure bundles to visible goods (clothing, jewelry, and cars) than do comparable Whites.”

        Just wow! I bet he’s the dude marketing Trump’s 400 shoes.

        Reply
        1. Moses Herzog

          What “inspires” such research?? Must be Mr. Nikolai Roussanov’s “extensive personal interactions” with Blacks in his life experience. Yes…… must be that. Roughly the same number of Blacks donald trump interacted with in his college prep boarding school. Gee, you don’t think Nikolai had to touch them when passing out the surveys, do you?? Might red flag him with security when he goes to the next MAGA rally.

          Reply
      2. pgl

        Latest Research
        Erik Gilje, Robert Ready, Nikolai Roussanov (Working), Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution.

        Drill baby drill?

        Reply
  2. pgl

    Republicans Had Planned to Campaign on the Economy. Trump and Vance Are Talking About Cats and Taylor Swift
    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/republicans-had-planned-to-campaign-on-the-economy-trump-and-vance-are-talking-about-cats-and-taylor-swift/ar-AA1qCtJD?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=86972211b5f74c43b7aa5bb0eb07f5c5&ei=15

    The controversy around an unfounded Republican talking point about immigrants eating cats and dogs in Springfield, Ohio, shadowed Donald Trump’s campaign over the weekend, with the state’s Republican governor on Sunday calling the pet-eating rumor “garbage,” and Trump running mate JD Vance defending his circulation of the claims. “This is a piece of garbage that was simply not true,” Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine said Sunday during an appearance on ABC News’s “This Week.” “I think these discussions about Haitians eating dogs and cats and other things needs to stop…It’s just not helpful,” said DeWine, who said Trump would be better off talking about the economy and inflation.

    Yes – this weird fixation with people allegedly eating the neighbor’s cat is a loser for Trump-Vance but any serious comparing economic proposals would be even worse
    1

    Reply
      1. baffling

        from what i understand, not a single pet is missing under the suspicion that some poor immigrant ate it. not one. so you want these types of decision makers in the white house? trump is cognitively diabled at this point. and vance has admitted to simply making sh!t up to advance his cause. that is how we got into another war in iraq.

        Reply
  3. Moses Herzog

    OK, probably for good reason, Menzie won’t let me link YT videos. Uhm here’s another classis,must see video. Look for the YT channel “Mr. Newberger’s ‘AI’ Funnies” then search out a video titled “Horror Film: Loomer” Honest to God, I’m not sure if I’ve seen any video which better captures the current mood/moment of American politics.

    Dark?? Yes. 100% accurate?? Without a doubt.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *