Copper, Bolsonaro (Coffee): Predict Trade Policy Uncertainty for 7/10

Here’s the data through 7/9:

Figure 1: EPU-trade category (blue, left scale), and Trade Policy Uncertainty index (red, right scale). Source: Baker, Bloom & Davis policyuncertainty.com, and Caldara et al. TPUD.

For 7/9, it’s 4110. Pre-Trump 1.0 average is 102.

Copper prices?

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