Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Wake of “F*****’ Strait” Post

Remarkably low (considering) and high (since it’s *economic* policy):

Figure 1: Economic Policy Uncertainty (blue, left scale), 7 day centered moving average (bold red, left scale), Geopolitical Risk (green, right scale). Source: policyuncertainty.com, matteoiacoviello.com, and author’s calculations.

To elaborate, Mr. Trump’s profanity-laden Easter Day threat to commit war crimes, without a clear path to reopening the Strait, seems like it would push measured policy uncertainty past 791. The fact it didn’t seems to me a reflection of the jaded nature of news coverage as currently practiced. On the other hand, the spillover to economic policy uncertainty suggests that the erratic nature of war-making policy is taken as implying equally erratic economic policy-making.

It would’ve been interesting to see GPR through Easter Day, but that data will probably not be reported until the day after tomorrow, if the GPR authors follow their usual schedule.

One thought on “Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Wake of “F*****’ Strait” Post

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *