Are You a Mainstream (Macro) Economist?

A self test (a follow up to this post):

  1. If the dollar appreciates exogenously, do export and import prices (in US currency terms) tend to fall, holding all else constant?
  2. If tariffs on imports are raised, do import prices tend to rise, ceteris paribus?
  3. If US government debt issuance increases, and private domestic and foreign actors do not correspondingly increase demand for US government debt, do real interest rates tend to rise (holding constant expected inflation)?
  4. If US inflation rates increase ceteris paribus, will a Federal Reserve following a Taylor Rule tend to raise the policy rate (Fed funds rate)?
  5. If the Federal Reserve’s independence is reduced so that the Executive branch is empowered to have a say in monetary policy, will the Fed then tend toward greater monetary accommodation of fiscal policy?
  6. If mass deportations reduce the labor supply, do upward wage pressures and hence price pressures increase?

If your answers are “yes” to all, then you are likely a Mainstreamer.

On the other hand, if you answer yes to the following:

  1. it’s possible to raise enough revenue by raising tariffs to replace the income tax.
  2. It’s possible to cut spending enough by reducing the Federal workforce to balance the budget.
  3. If you cut corporate tax rates by another 3 percentage points, corporate tax revenues will increase sufficiently to balance the budget.
  4. If you raise tariffs on imports from a foreign country, that country will promptly capitulate, and not raise tariffs on goods it imports from the US.
  5. If you raise tariffs on intermediate goods (goods that are used to produce goods in America), this will not raise the cost of producing exported goods.
  6. If you deport millions of unauthorized immigrants, it will not cost anything in budget dollar terms to do so.
  7. If you deport all unauthorized immigrants in the United States, this will not have any negative impact on output, or elevate production costs, in construction, agriculture, and food processing.

Well, then, I’d say you’re not a mainstream macroeconomist.

 

3 thoughts on “Are You a Mainstream (Macro) Economist?

  1. Macroduck

    In fairness to legitimate heterodox thinkers, one can be non-mainstream and still think like an economist. Some commenters here (at least one of whom has been banned, and deservedly so) have abused the notions of “main stream” and “orthodox” and “heterodox”, in service of trotting out idiocies and falsehoods. In fact, there are perfectly serious people who have doubts about neo-liberal economic thinking, who would not touch anything on Menzie’s non-mainstream list with a ten-foot poll.

    There are orthodox economists, there are heterodox economists and there are liars and loonies. Lance Roberts? Clearly neither orthodox nor heterodox, so…

    Reply
    1. Menzie Chinn Post author

      Macroduck: I don’t have a problem with heterodox economists if they have a consistent framework. I find the value in RBC theory. After all, RBC is the core of the New Keynesian approach. I’m a little leery of the labor theory of value — I think we’ve gone past that. However, at least formal Marxian economics is internally consistent. It’s just folks making it up that bug me.

      Reply

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