Why I Think Economic Policy Uncertainty Is Likely to Stay High

The end of the China import tariff pause is about the same time as the debt ceiling x-date…

Source: Bipartisan Policy Center, accessed 14 May 2025.

 

8 thoughts on “Why I Think Economic Policy Uncertainty Is Likely to Stay High”

  1. Macroduck

    Though an end to Medicaid for 10 million people has passed the House Commerce Committee, it’s still not a sure thing to pass floor votes in both chambers. With Republicans at each others’ throats, some Republicans might actually try to blackmail the rest using the debt ceiling. With Democrats floundering and their leaders not leading, I’m not willing to bet they’d bail Republicans out.

  2. baffling

    salt taxes are still not being made fully deductible. why is the argument that capital gains taxes are a double tax and should be eliminated not applied to salt taxes? why must i pay taxes on my taxes? seriously, there is a big nasty rot existing in the republican logic these days. it is more important to stick it to democratic states than to address fair tax payments.

    1. Macroduck

      “How do we pursue policies which harm the majority and still maintain power?” This question is a source of endless tension within the GOP, between those who are “safe” and those who have to compete for their seats.

  3. James

    It will be interesting to see how reducing federal Medicaid spending by at least $715 billion, and at least 13.7 million people losing health insurance will play out in the U.S. economy. I foreseen private healthcare costs to increase substantially – if you can afford to pay for it – if you can’t – be prepared to work until you drop or depend on family and friends to provide care.

    1. baffling

      with NIH and HHS funding being slashed, fewer new drugs and procedures will be made available to the public. downstream effect, this will reduce the amount of money we need to spend on healthcare. eventually fewer health care options will eliminate the need for insurance.

    2. Macroduck

      Cutting social benefits as a way to swell the low-wage labor force? Who’d do a thing like that?

  4. Baffling

    So republicans, the party of fiscal discipline, look to be increasing the sacred debt limit by $4 TRILLION. I thought doge was supposed to fix this problem?

    1. Macroduck

      They have fixed it, in the very same way they’ve fixed communicable disease control, air traffic control, emergency relief, data security, highway safety…the list goes on.

      The fix is in and we’re in a fix.

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