I’ve been invited to give the keynote lecture at the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics Annual Symposium next week at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. I plan on presenting results of some ongoing research with Mike Owyang of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on regional propagation of business cycles. This is the first of two posts that describe some of our findings about how recessions differ and seem to propagate across different states and regions.
Author Archives: James_Hamilton
Would you like anything else with that coffee, Ben?
Last week we received some new data linking commodity prices to the decisions of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Quick links
Here are a couple of nice summaries of the credit crunch and the Fed’s response.
NCAA basketball: Round 2
Here’s the status of the 2008 NCAA Bracket Econbrowser Challenge now that the tournament is down to 16 surviving teams.
In memoriam: John E. Flavin, Jr. (1922-2008)
Some personal reflections on the last year of my father-in-law, who died Thursday at the age of 86.
NCAA basketball: postmortem for Round 1
Herewith an update on how the
2008 NCAA Bracket Econbrowser Challenge stands after round 1.
More bad news
More confirmation that the slowdown in housing has spilled over to manufacturing.
NCAA Basketball: Day 1
We seem to have no fewer than six separate entries in the 2008 NCAA Bracket Econbrowser Challenge with a perfect score so far, having accurately predicted the outcome of all 16 of the first night’s basketball tournament games. And five of those perfect entries all seem to have been submitted by a certain M. Goodrum.
Hmmm… this guy could be tough to beat.
2008 NCAA Bracket Econbrowser Challenge
Less than 21 hours left to sign up for the 2008 NCAA Bracket Econbrowser Challenge. Register and fill in your bracket both at this link.
Another 75
How much ammo is left in that fed funds gun?