Author Archives: Menzie Chinn

Employment Prospects for Lower Wage Workers

I spent the better part of last Friday at an Institute for Research on Poverty conference, entitled “Employment Prospects for Lower Wage Workers: Easing the Implications of a Slow Recovery Conference”. It was a tremendous learning experience for me (since I’m not a labor economist), and a chance to be reminded of the full enormity of the challenges facing policymakers, as the economy limps in a fitful recovery, with little succor from further aggregate demand stimulus measures, and threatened by supply shocks as well as incoherence in fiscal policymaking. I mentioned the conference in a post last week, but the presentations and papers are now online.

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Guest Contribution: The Macroeconomic Aftermath of the Earthquake/Tsunami in Japan

By Ilan Noy

 

Today, we’re fortunate to have Ilan Noy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Hawai’i, as a Guest Contributor.


In the last 14 months, we have seen a spate of very large earthquakes which began with the unprecedented devastation caused by the earthquake in Haiti (1/10/10) — the most destructive natural disaster in modern history (relative to national population), continued with the unusually strong earthquake in Chile (2/27/10), to the most recent events generated by the earthquake in Sendai, Japan.

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Dispatches (IX): 49,000-85,000 100,000 Rally In Madison

rally031211.jpg

Source: “Capitol Square overflows in largest Wisconsin labor solidarity demonstration yet,” The Isthmus (3/12/2011).

From USA Today:

By 3 p.m., tens of thousands of people crowded the Capitol Square. There is a big discrepancy in the crowd estimates compiled by Capitol Police and the Madison Police Department. Capitol Police estimated about 49,500 at 2 p.m. while Madison police said the crowd was about 85,000.

Latest Reuters estimate at up to 100,000.

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The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Exchange Rate Appreciations

From the abstract to a new OECD Development Center working paper, by Marcus Kappler, Helmut Reisen, Moritz Schularick and Edouard Turkisch, the results of a large, cross-country study based upon a narrative approach to identifying appreciation episodes:

The study shows that currency appreciations can help to a certain extent in reducing global imbalances, and that it can go along with a shift from a mainly export-based model of growth towards a model with internal sources of growth. The cost in terms of growth would be very limited in the case of developed countries, but somewhat larger for developing countries.

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Dispatches (VIII): A Dog’s Life in Wisconsin

Or, don’t lose your dog in Wisconsin.

Just one of the odd bits of legislation winding through Madison, WI. From AB40:

SECTION 2704. 174.13 (2) of the statutes is amended to read:
174.13 (2) Any officer or pound which has custody of an unclaimed dog may
release the dog to the University of Wisconsin System, the University of
Wisconsin–Madison, the Medical College of Wisconsin, Inc., or to any other
educational institution of higher learning chartered under the laws of the state and
accredited to the University of Wisconsin System or University of
Wisconsin–Madison, upon requisition by the institution.

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The Challenges of Long Term Unemployment

The composition and implications of long term unemployment has been vigorously debated over the last year. The most recent informed commentary (skipping non-evidence based assessments [1]) includes Macroblog and SF Fed (earlier discussion here and here). Two conferences on the subject will be held at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, this Friday, and later at the end of April.

 

The magnitude of the phenomenon can be illustrated by inspecting mean unemployment duration, and number of unemployed over 27 weeks.

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Dispatches (VII): WWBD?

Or, “What Would Bob (La Follette) Do?”

Since I teach in the Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs, this WSJ article “‘Fighting Bob’ Fights Right On” caught my eye. From the article:

Protesters’ signs and online discussions have repeatedly invoked La Follette, a turn-of-the-20th century Wisconsin governor and U.S. senator. His bust has become a locus of the protest, with demonstrators draping flowers around its neck and festooning its pedestal with signs saying “Long Live La Follette” and “What Would Bob Do?”

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