Author Archives: Menzie Chinn

Dispatches (VIII): A Dog’s Life in Wisconsin

Or, don’t lose your dog in Wisconsin.

Just one of the odd bits of legislation winding through Madison, WI. From AB40:

SECTION 2704. 174.13 (2) of the statutes is amended to read:
174.13 (2) Any officer or pound which has custody of an unclaimed dog may
release the dog to the University of Wisconsin System, the University of
Wisconsin–Madison, the Medical College of Wisconsin, Inc., or to any other
educational institution of higher learning chartered under the laws of the state and
accredited to the University of Wisconsin System or University of
Wisconsin–Madison, upon requisition by the institution.

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The Challenges of Long Term Unemployment

The composition and implications of long term unemployment has been vigorously debated over the last year. The most recent informed commentary (skipping non-evidence based assessments [1]) includes Macroblog and SF Fed (earlier discussion here and here). Two conferences on the subject will be held at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, this Friday, and later at the end of April.

 

The magnitude of the phenomenon can be illustrated by inspecting mean unemployment duration, and number of unemployed over 27 weeks.

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Dispatches (VII): WWBD?

Or, “What Would Bob (La Follette) Do?”

Since I teach in the Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs, this WSJ article “‘Fighting Bob’ Fights Right On” caught my eye. From the article:

Protesters’ signs and online discussions have repeatedly invoked La Follette, a turn-of-the-20th century Wisconsin governor and U.S. senator. His bust has become a locus of the protest, with demonstrators draping flowers around its neck and festooning its pedestal with signs saying “Long Live La Follette” and “What Would Bob Do?”

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Dispatches (VI): Where Do Those Budget Numbers Come From?

Wisconsin Governor Walker has been stating that if his “budget repair bill” is not passed, then the state will lose $165 million dollars. It is unclear what exactly would be “lost” if the bill is not passed. From the New York Times:

“One day left to save the state $165 million,” said the governor’s office on Monday, announcing the latest deadline.

If Democrats do not return by Tuesday, taxpayers would lose an option to save that money through a “refinancing,” the governor’s office said, citing the Wisconsin Legislative Fiscal Bureau, a nonpartisan agency that conducts budget analysis.

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CBO on the Stimulus Package, and Still No Expansionary Fiscal Contraction in UK

Two Items Regarding Fiscal Policy

US GDP and the Stimulus Package

The 2nd release for US GDP revealed a downward revision BEA; CR reports the breakdown. What is interesting is that the downward revision is due in part to a greater than previously estimated decline in the state and local government spending contribution. Something useful to keep in mind as state and local governments move to rely solely upon spending cuts instead of revenue increases as means to reduce budget deficits (e.g., as in Wisconsin).

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Exchange Rates: Two Stylized Facts and Yet Another (Consequent) Puzzle

My colleague, Charles Engel, has a new paper entitled The Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium, in which he tries to identify what characteristics an exchange rate model must possess in order to explain two stylized facts.

…The well-known interest parity puzzle in foreign exchange markets finds … the high interest rate country tends to have the higher expected return in the short run. The second stylized fact concerns evidence that when a country’s relative real interest rate rises above its average, its currency tends to be stronger than average in real terms.

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Dispatches (IV): Wisconsin National Guard Makes Routine Visits to Correctional Institutions

Following up on Walker says National Guard is prepared (2/11), from Wisconsin State Journal:

Madison — As large labor protests continue at the Capitol, the Wisconsin National Guard has toured more than one prison in the state, a spokeswoman said Tuesday.

The Journal Sentinel reported Monday that National Guard members last week had toured Redgranite Correctional Institution with its security director. On Tuesday, Lt. Col. Jackie Guthrie, spokeswoman for the National Guard, confirmed that other prisons had been visited as well.

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