From Tim Duy:
Pencil in somewhat stronger growth in 2014. Pencil in a steady reduction in the pace of asset purchases until the program winds down at the end of the year. Pencil in an extended period of low rates. But also recognize that the tide of monetary policy is now receding– albeit ever so slightly– with the Fed’s first step of ending the asset purchase program.
And from the invaluable Bill McBride: Ten questions for 2014.
The Shoveling Must Continue
Bill Beach has retired, and the Heritage Foundation no longer “scores” budget plans. Yet there is still so much … stuff … out there to debunk. Without further ado, here are my top ten examples of delusion in 2013.
Quick links to a few items I found interesting.
Six years ago, I asked this question, and noted that it was primarily economists who had served a stint in government. Still, it was a pretty rarified group; now it’s less so.
Or, it would be a better world if people who pronounced on policy measures knew something about policy efficacy
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Despite much bracket-busting, the nation’s best college basketball team seems somehow to have emerged as winner of the 2013 men’s NCAA basketball tournament. Congratulations to Louisville, and congratulations to budwysor, who won the coveted championship of the 2013 Econbrowser NCAA tournament challenge, in part by picking not only Louisville as winner but also 5 of the last 8 teams standing. Thanks to all the others who participated. And if things didn’t go your way, there’s always next year!
Yes, it’s coming! The all new (well, actually it’s somewhat similar to last year’s) 2013 Econbrowser NCAA tournament challenge. Here we once again invite all Econbrowser readers to test your skill (or luck) at predicting the outcomes of the U.S. college mens’ basketball tournament. All you have to do is go to the Econbrowser group at ESPN, do some minor registering to create a free ESPN account if you haven’t used that site before, and fill in your bracket with who you think might be the winners of each game. Just be sure you complete your predictions before Thursday, because the Econbrowser group does not allow changes in your bracket after the tournament begins on Thursday. And be forewarned that some of the people who compete in the Econbrowser NCAA challenge really know what they’re doing!
Quick links to a few items I found of interest.
Updating last year’s post, indicators via representation at the (now ongoing) Allied Social Sciences Association meetings.