Year-on-year picture:
Category Archives: Uncategorized
GDP and GDO, 3rd vs 2nd release
From BEA today:
Reminders: Don’t Accuse People of Manipulating the Data before Figuring Out What Has Been Done, and Other Helpful Hints for Not Losing All Credibility
Some additional notes for my students:
Reminders: Logs, Chain-Weights, Confidence Intervals, Data Footnotes, Data Revisions, and Stereotypes
Notes for my students:
Nowcasts and Forecasts
of GDP, along with current Gross Domestic Output (average of GDP and GDI):
In Memory of Robert Haveman
Robert Haveman, a prime force behind the establishment of the La Follette School of Public Affairs, passed last week. Today, Tim Smeeding, a longtime friend, colleague, co-author and student of Bob Haveman, shares some thoughts on this occasion.
Some Random Graphs and Links
For reference:
Graphically Taking the Quantity Equation Literally
When People Who Don’t Understand Basic Time Series Analysis Try to Talk Time Series Analysis
From 2019, pay special attention to CoRev’s statistical analysis (at the end):
Guest Contribution: “A Resilience Case for International Trade”
Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version appeared at Project Syndicate.