[Graph corrected 3/18 of 3/15 post– apologies to all for the error of using NY-wide series in the earlier post] New York City. Inveterate commenter Steven Kopits cites an article from some publication called “Liberty Nation”:
In New York City. Inveterate commenter Steven Kopits cites an article from some publication called “Liberty Nation”:
Last year’s recap was subtitled “Fighting against the normalization of lying”. At least this year, lies are called lies. Now it’s time to shun the liars, and relegate them to where they belong.
That’s the title of an oped by Heather Boushey in The Hill. There’s not much to disagree with in the article, but I think one graph of Kansas employment would’ve really driven home the conclusion.
Compare this assessment (5/31/2018): Thus, the data suggests that the hurricane accelerated the deaths of ill and dying people, rather than killing them outright. I would expect the excess deaths at a year horizon (through, say, Oct. 1, 2018) to total perhaps 200-400. Still a notable number, but certainly not 4,600. With a contemporaneous prediction: […]
Trump, last Thursday: “I don’t like all of this work that we’re putting into the economy and then I see rates going up.” and a tweet on Saturday: Tightening now hurts all that we have done.
Mr. Steven Kopits takes issue with the Harvard School of Public Health led study’s point estimate of (4645) and confidence interval (798, 8498) for Puerto Rico excess fatalities post-Maria thusly: Does Harvard stand behind the study, or not?
Since the Puerto Rican government ceased publishing mortality data in February, there has been a debate over the death toll arising from Hurrican Maria. The official death toll, focusing on direct deaths, remains at 64. However, starting in November, a number of scholars attempted to gain further insight into the extent of the human disaster […]
Population mean Sample mean Population standard deviation Sample standard deviation Standard error Administrative data Survey data Point estimate Confidence interval Sampling bias Reporting bias Now, let’s begin. Here is a graph of estimates of cumulative fatalities in Puerto Rico over time. Figure 1: Estimates from Santos-Lozada and Jeffrey Howard (Nov. 2017) for September and October […]
Given some criticisms of the Harvard School of Public Health led study, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, I thought it useful to compare point estimates and 95% confidence intervals of several extant studies, placed in a time context. Figure 1: Estimates from Santos-Lozada and Jeffrey Howard (Nov. 2017) for September and October, […]