“Differences in and Consistency of Excess Mortality Estimates in Puerto Rico After Hurricane Maria”
From Sandberg, et al. (July 2019) in Epidemiology:
Search Results for: steven kopits
Why Is the Structural Budget Deficit Blowing Up Since Trump?
The structural, or cyclically adjusted, budget balance has been deteriorating. In accounting terms, what’re the drivers?
On Kansas: Prognostications from Five Years Ago
Whether due to Brownback or other factors, Kansas is doing very well.
Self-Professed Policy Analyst Predicts Minimum-Wage Induced Employment Disaster [CORRECTED]
[Graph corrected 3/18 of 3/15 post– apologies to all for the error of using NY-wide series in the earlier post] New York City. Inveterate commenter Steven Kopits cites an article from some publication called “Liberty Nation”:
Self-Professed Policy Analyst Predicts Minimum-Wage Induced Employment Disaster
In New York City. Inveterate commenter Steven Kopits cites an article from some publication called “Liberty Nation”:
The Year in Review, 2018: Blowhards at Bay?
Last year’s recap was subtitled “Fighting against the normalization of lying”. At least this year, lies are called lies. Now it’s time to shun the liars, and relegate them to where they belong.
“Failed tax-cut experiment in Kansas should guide national leaders”
That’s the title of an oped by Heather Boushey in The Hill. There’s not much to disagree with in the article, but I think one graph of Kansas employment would’ve really driven home the conclusion.
Predictions With and Without Confidence Intervals: Puerto Rico Post-Maria
Compare this assessment (5/31/2018): Thus, the data suggests that the hurricane accelerated the deaths of ill and dying people, rather than killing them outright. I would expect the excess deaths at a year horizon (through, say, Oct. 1, 2018) to total perhaps 200-400. Still a notable number, but certainly not 4,600. With a contemporaneous prediction: […]
Taylor Rule Implied Rate, Trump-Annotated
Trump, last Thursday: “I don’t like all of this work that we’re putting into the economy and then I see rates going up.” and a tweet on Saturday: Tightening now hurts all that we have done.
Another Thing I Thought I’d Never Have to Explain on Econbrowser: Confidence Interval
Mr. Steven Kopits takes issue with the Harvard School of Public Health led study’s point estimate of (4645) and confidence interval (798, 8498) for Puerto Rico excess fatalities post-Maria thusly: Does Harvard stand behind the study, or not?