Weekly Covid-19 fatalities are falling according to CDC estimates, although CDC determined fatalities are consistently below alternatively sourced estimates in recent weeks; excess fatalities have been revised upward.
Figure 1: Weekly fatalities due to Covid-19 as reported to CDC for weeks ending on indicated dates (black), excess fatalities calculated as actual minus expected (teal), fatalities as tabulated by Our World in Data (dark red). Note excess fatalities differ from CDC series which are bounded below at zero. Light green shading denotes CDC data that are likely to be revised. Source: CDC 12/30/2020 vintage, OurWorldinData version of 12/29 accessed 12/30/2020 and author’s calculations.
In this post from end-November, I predicted a rise in fatalities — not a controversial point among those who were connected with reality. That prediction has come to pass. The recent decline in administratively reported Covid-19 related fatalities could be associated with reporting lags surrounding the holidays. Hence, the recent observations should be interpreted with special care.
My experience with these series is that the CDC excess count series moves upward toward a line parallel to, and shifted upward from, the Our World in Data series (see this post). In other words, excess fatalities could be rising. Upward revision of excess deaths (calculated as actual minus expected) going from 11/17 vintage to 12/30 vintage for the week ending 11/07 is about 8900 (that’s a 7 day total).
Figure 2: Excess fatalities per week, as calculated as reported minus expected, from 11/3 release (green), 11/17 release (red) and 12/30 release (blue). Source: CDC.
As hospitalization rates continue to climb, and in the wake of the massive travel surrounding Christmas holidays, I expect another surge in deaths.
Question: Where is Bruce Hall?
“In this post from end-November, I predicted a rise in fatalities — not a controversial point among those who were connected with reality. That prediction has come to pass.”
And yet back then our Usual Suspects vigorously protested this reasonable prediction. Of course this was two day before the election and something tells me that they were doing their protesting on the hope this would someone lead to a second term for the worst President in our history.
We downunder have not had a flu season which would influence excess mortality estimates.
What has happened in your failed state?
That’s because the Australian police won’t tolerate anyone not wearing a mask, even outside. You have a police state, including wrestling women to the ground and arresting them.
Unlike in the U.S, where police only wrestle women to the ground for political speech. So you oppose enforcement of public health efforts but applaud denial of constitutionally guaranteed freedoms? Good to know.
We have freedom of speech in the U.S.. And, the police don’t beat up women for not muzzling their mouth outside when no one’s around, like in Australia. Obviously, you never been to a Trump rally. I guess, public health enforcement isn’t strict enough for you, like Australia, where people are locked up in their homes.
No – our police simply murder women while they are sleeping simply because they are black.
@ Peaktrader
You’re referring to this??~~
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LcyhORoIlOE&list=LL6vmWtt4BXggbAZKiR6Kq3A&index=4020
Or this???~~~
https://www.thecut.com/2016/10/violence-committed-against-women-by-trump-supporters.html
Or this???~~~
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/election-us-2016-35721067
Or this???~~~
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2020/08/31/trump-defends-kenosha-shooter-kyle-rittenhouse-arguing-self-defense/3451006001/
This woman was politely asked to leave PRIVATE property. Peaktrader, how would you rank her treatment by police, vs a black man shot by police while visiting his friend (after being invited) and holding a mobile phone above his shoulders??
https://abc7.com/society/woman-gets-upset-after-asked-to-wear-face-mask-at-trader-joes-in-noho/6275950/
How about this lady?? She was asked to wear a mask by the person helping her to find the right sized shoe. Was she “abused” by police Peaktrader??
https://kfor.com/news/local/woman-chucks-boxes-of-shoes-at-oklahoma-city-store-worker-after-being-asked-to-wear-face-mask/
I could put the Colbert video with the Karen montage and the satire version of Dolly Parton’s “Jolene” but if this ever gets past the filter I’ve tortured Menzie enough for one day. The problem you are apparently too dumb to understand Peaktrader is when people are on privately owned property or breaking public health laws, they will be arrested. Is it too hard for you to understand that at one time in this country, during the Presidential term of Republican Ronald Reagan, you could (very justifiably) be arrested for knowingly spreading the AIDS virus without telling your sexual partner?? Something tells me Peaktrader, if you were adult age then, that you had very few objections on that score if you were alive around the time of the mid 1980’s.
@ Peaktrader
I don’t suppose you have any idea WHO asked this woman, Sheila Buck, A Catholic school art teacher to leave the donald trump MAGA rally do you Peaktrader??? Do you know WHO it was that asked her to leave the donald trump MAGA rally, or what her “crime” was??
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/06/21/sheila-buck-protester-arrested-trump-tulsa-rally/
https://www.kosu.org/post/my-city-sheila-buck-reflects-her-arrest-outside-trumps-tulsa-rally
https://www.facebook.com/tulsapolice/photos/a.376369998662/10157384491603663/?type=3&theater
The reason the Trump campaign asked police to arrest and remove Sheila Buck??? A T-shirt. I bet Peaktrader and the folks at FOX news “worried” about free speech and the 1st Amendment cry themselves to sleep every night since Sheila Buck was arrested by Tulsa Police (at the discretion of the MAGA/trump Nazis) for wearing a T-shirt. I bet Peaktrader just cries himself to sleep every night over that one.
Public health enforcement is not strict enough. That failure has cause the death of thousands of innocent people. I have not been to a Trump rally. Those rallies have also caused the death of innocent people, with Trump deserving much of the blame. Australians also enjoy freedom of speech. It is odd indeed to claim that any old behavior, however separated from actual speech, is protected as speech under the Constitution. Driving on the wrong side of the road is not speech. Smoking indoors is not speech. Mask wearing is not speech. The Supreme Court long ago found that yelling “fire” in a crowded theater when there is no fire is not protected speech. The risk to others outweighs the childish desire to do any old thing one wants.
My current favorite “what were the police thinking?” escapade is the raid on the home of Rebeka Jones, the fired “data scientist” whistleblower accused of illegally accessing publicly available data.
Somehow, the raid required a dozen agents-armed,including at least one with a rifle—to take into custody a young woman accused of a data breach, making sure also that her children responded to demands to get downstairs quickly. Video shows guns were drawn because we all know how dangerous a two year old can be.
The danger to Ms. Jones was likely lessened by her blonde locks and very white features. To their credit, the agents did conduct the raid during the day. One shudders to think what might have happened had they done so at night. It might have been necessary to deploy a SWAT team to insure the raiding agents’ safety.
No, PT, she wasn’t muzzled and thrown to the ground. Just arrested, cuffed, and humiliated, worrying what armed agents might do to unresponsive children.
Yes, this is the land of the free where only a dozen armed agents are required to prevent chaos and anarchy at the home of a young woman whose great crime was telling the truth about administrative malfeasance.
“We have freedom of speech in the U.S.”
what is this “we” talk? i am not at all convinced you are a native born american. by trumpian standards, peak trader, you should not be allotted the rights the rest of america enjoy.
Come on – can you at least try not being an idiot 24/7?
@ Menzie
You know I treasure using permalinks in my little interactions with the “mathematical” economist” in Harrisonburg VA. This is not meant as a criticism, but more as a barely perceptible finger to your ribs to emit a half-chuckle~~~I feel you still may be underutilizing the permalink feature of our beloved internet. Specifically, the barely 2 months old witticisms of a Mr. Rick Stryker:
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2020/10/alan-blinder-on-the-biden-agenda#comment-243340
I know…….. you don’t need to explain….. you just assumed your resident troublemaker and vulgarian would do it. Although I have to confess a certain fear in pointing this out, being I had it at 60% the orange abomination would win the 2020 election.
Moses Herzog: I had assumed Rick Stryker was being facetious in that instance.
For me, in Rick’s case, kind of hard to tell sometimes, but your reading was probably the correct one.
“Moses Herzog
December 30, 2020 at 9:07 pm
2nd paragraph was a display of stupid pointless lies. I see your dating JohnH has warped your brain!
Donald Trump still has a plan to get his 2nd term. Something about some member of the Senate supporting an absurd move on 1/6/2021.
We should thank that guy. Hawley from Missouri. He has improved the chances for the Democratic candidates in Georgia and made Moscow Mitch’s job just that much more difficult. He’s working hard to being divorced from reality look even worse than it already does.
Old joke:
What does every member of the U.S. Senate say to his* mirror each morning?
“Good morning, Mr. President.”
Hawley is running for president. More specifically, he is preparing to run in Republican presidential primaries. This sort of bombastic grandstanding plays well with the tubes.
*As I say, old joke. No “her” or “Madam President” back then.
Jeez! With the RUBES. Not tubes.
I gotta get better at this stuff.
Some of us might argue that “bombastic grandstanding” plays better than running around the midwest USA telling people you co-authored with your hubby the NAFTA package that took their jobs. But, what does a Democratic Socialist know about politics?? I guess Clinton Foundation funding sources (similar to the Center for American Progress??) precludes one from “playing to the rubes”??
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/30/ndaa-bill-delayed-452809
pgl has told us Bernie Sanders has done nothing for good legislation being passed through congress. Maybe pgl was busy asking for Bill de Blasio’s autograph at the gym?? Or possibly taking “a selfie” kissing de Blasio, because pgl thinks none of us have seen him before. Since Bernie has probably given up on running for President again, I guess pgl will have to create another cynical reason why Bernie looks out for the lower income families. Oh wait, I forgot, pgl thinks Neera Tanden will save working families by bad-mouthing Social Security and punching brown people for asking the wrong questions to Queen Hillary.
I think it’s very interesting to note, related more to you guys’ discussion of the January 6th electoral college issue. Since I went off on my Bernie tangent, I thought I should give the courtesy of tossing in my 2 shekels opinion on it…… How many times have you guys heard me quoting a Mr. Newt Gingrich here?? Yet, even people we don’t like may have their own niche or bailiwick of knowledge. Say what you want about Newt, he knows his core audience well. He was saying that if he could he would BEG McConnell to do “a straight vote” on the $2,000 stimulus checks~~~this made my antenna pop up and go into overdrive~~~and also feeds into Willie’s well made point above. If they block this, it’s not necessarily going to play well in Georgia, even among those who give lip-service to how they “don’t want big government in our lives”. Just like American farmers putting their hands out for the USDA checks from Sonny Perdue. All that talk about not wanting “big government” in their lives goes right out the window when they can sniff that $2,000 “check” or automatic deposit on its way.
Moses,
I think it is about time for you to retire your often repeated claim that Hillary Clinton ran around the Midwest claiming credit for NAFTA. She was in fact peripherally involved in the discussions of it back in 1994, but by 2008 and certainly in 2016 what she was running around doing in the Midwest was running around saying she would renegotiate it. if you want to argue that she had no cred on that due to it not being done during the Obama years, fair enough. But also keep in mind that a lot of those workers were as misguided about NAFTA damaging them as a lot of US farmers have been misguided more recently by thinking that Trump was helping them with his trade war (although China has recently made some large purchases of corn and soybeans).
Also during 2016 she came out against TPP, as did Trump, but did not have much cred on that due to having been part of the admin that negotiated it. But as with NAFTA, TPP was probably a good thing, and most of what Trump “renegotiated” in moving from NAFTA to USMCA was simply to adopt what had been in TPP that he ran away from when he entered office.
Anyway, your inaccurate slams on HRC on these matters are just another example of your sick problems with older powerful women. Time to get over all that in the new year, Mose.
December 29, 2020
Coronavirus
US
Cases ( 19,977,704)
Deaths ( 346,579)
India
Cases ( 10,245,326)
Deaths ( 148,475)
France
Cases ( 2,574,041)
Deaths ( 64,078)
UK
Cases ( 2,382,865)
Deaths ( 71,567)
Germany
Cases ( 1,686,154)
Deaths ( 32,111)
Mexico
Cases ( 1,389,430)
Deaths ( 122,855)
Canada
Cases ( 565,506)
Deaths ( 15,378)
China
Cases ( 87,003)
Deaths ( 4,634)
December 29, 2020
Coronavirus (Deaths per million)
UK ( 1,051)
US ( 1,044)
France ( 981)
Mexico ( 948)
Canada ( 406)
Germany ( 383)
India ( 107)
China ( 3)
Notice the ratios of deaths to coronavirus cases are 8.8%, 3.0% and 2.5% for Mexico, the United Kingdom and France respectively.
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-12-30/Chinese-mainland-reports-24-new-COVID-19-cases-WDpetYu0Ew/index.html
December 30, 2020
Chinese mainland reports 24 new COVID-19 cases
The Chinese mainland recorded 24 new COVID-19 cases on Tuesday, of which 7 were locally transmitted and 17 from overseas, the National Health Commission said on Wednesday.
Five domestic cases were reported in northeast China’s Liaoning Province, 1 in Beijing and 1 in northeast China’s Heilongjiang Province.
17 new asymptomatic COVID-19 cases were also recorded, while 269 asymptomatic patients remained under medical observation.
No COVID-19 deaths were registered on Tuesday. Meanwhile, 16 patients were discharged from hospital. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in China reached 87,027, and the death toll stood at 4,634.
Chinese mainland new imported cases
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-12-30/Chinese-mainland-reports-24-new-COVID-19-cases-WDpetYu0Ew/img/2eea437b5c10449c9095e5b1b0d3c9f2/2eea437b5c10449c9095e5b1b0d3c9f2.jpeg
Chinese mainland new asymptomatic cases
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-12-30/Chinese-mainland-reports-24-new-COVID-19-cases-WDpetYu0Ew/img/f3c1a1aa6e2743bc92dd050f91d1970f/f3c1a1aa6e2743bc92dd050f91d1970f.jpeg
[ There has been no coronavirus death on the Chinese mainland since the beginning of May. Since the beginning of June there have been only limited community clusters of infections, each of which was an immediate focus of mass testing, contact tracing and quarantine, with each outbreak having been contained. Symptomatic and asymptomatic cases are all contact traced and quarantined.
Imported coronavirus cases are caught at entry points with required testing and immediate quarantine. Cold-chain imported food products are all checked and tracked through distribution. The flow of imported cases to China is low, but has been persistent.
There are now 356 active coronavirus cases in all on the Chinese mainland, 6 of which cases are classed as serious or critical. ]
As Archie Goodwin liked to say, I’d give 9-5 odds that the Covid pandemic beats the death count of the Spanish Flu in the US: 675,000 before the end of 2021.
If there is any abstract consolation, the population of the country then was less than a third of what it is now; so on a per capita basis, the Spanish Flu wins the tragedy award.
Quick fetch Dr. “Death” Redfield who claims to work for the Center for Disease (lack of) Control who will tell us that deaths willl…drop any day now. We have seen approximately 2500 Deaths per month 9 months into this pandemic.
Missing a zero?
@ macroduck
It’s a strange thing, sometimes I have visions of the future (stick with me now….. ). On January 21 Cristeta Comerford will awake from her bed and on that morning as she’s making breakfast emit those same exact words.
OK, I’m a professional so I’m starting early with the cheap-A Lambrusco from “Aldi” (where else with a cheap-A degenerate with German heritage get his wine?? Answer: Maybe another place IF was cheaper). And I’m playing one of my songs that makes me feel good inside to avoid “going over to the dark side”)…… Anyway…… “All Blues” off the “Kind of Blue” album (probably the only happy song on the disc). So I’m not even hardly buzzed yet and I notice Miles Davis “official” channel only has 151k subscribers. WTF!?!?!?!?!?!
December 30, 2020
Coronavirus
US
Cases ( 20,216,991)
Deaths ( 350,778)
India
Cases ( 10,267,283)
Deaths ( 148,774)
France
Cases ( 2,600,498)
Deaths ( 64,381)
UK
Cases ( 2,432,888)
Deaths ( 72,548)
Germany
Cases ( 1,710,992)
Deaths ( 33,172)
Mexico
Cases ( 1,401,529)
Deaths ( 123,845)
Canada
Cases ( 572,982)
Deaths ( 15,472)
China
Cases ( 87,027)
Deaths ( 4,634)
December 30, 2020
Coronavirus (Deaths per million)
UK ( 1,066)
US ( 1,057)
France ( 985)
Mexico ( 956)
Canada ( 408)
Germany ( 395)
India ( 107)
China ( 3)
Notice the ratios of deaths to coronavirus cases are 8.8%, 3.0% and 2.5% for Mexico, the United Kingdom and France respectively.
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-12-31/Chinese-mainland-reports-25-new-COVID-19-cases-WF3pwXKKeA/index.html
December 31, 2020
Chinese mainland reports 25 new COVID-19 cases
The Chinese mainland recorded 25 new COVID-19 cases on Wednesday, of which 9 were locally transmitted and 16 from overseas, the National Health Commission said on Thursday.
Five domestic cases were reported in Liaoning Province, 2 in Beijing and 2 in Heilongjiang Province.
Eight new asymptomatic COVID-19 cases were also recorded, while 267 asymptomatic patients remained under medical observation.
No COVID-19 deaths were registered on Wednesday. Meanwhile, 13 patients were discharged from hospital. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in China reached 87,052, and the death toll stood at 4,634.
Chinese mainland new imported cases
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-12-31/Chinese-mainland-reports-25-new-COVID-19-cases-WF3pwXKKeA/img/603ff95abcf947168847b4b40f646e30/603ff95abcf947168847b4b40f646e30.jpeg
Chinese mainland new asymptomatic cases
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-12-31/Chinese-mainland-reports-25-new-COVID-19-cases-WF3pwXKKeA/img/917c0ebe7f5141d2bbf3908b106cdd1a/917c0ebe7f5141d2bbf3908b106cdd1a.jpeg
[ There has been no coronavirus death on the Chinese mainland since the beginning of May. Since the beginning of June there have been only limited community clusters of infections, each of which was an immediate focus of mass testing, contact tracing and quarantine, with each outbreak having been contained. Symptomatic and asymptomatic cases are all contact traced and quarantined.
Imported coronavirus cases are caught at entry points with required testing and immediate quarantine. Cold-chain imported food products are all checked and tracked through distribution. The flow of imported cases to China is low, but has been persistent.
There are now 368 active coronavirus cases in all on the Chinese mainland, 6 of which cases are classed as serious or critical. ]
Your sources are underreporting the outbreak in dalian. It is locked down and throughout the city. Very problematic.
OK< these are the kind of thoughts you only have when your drinking (not really, I'm joking, I thought this many sober moments). Is it just me or is McRib just a marketed glamourized version of a cheap baloney sandwich with BBQ slimed on?? OK< get into groups of 4 and select a representative to present to the class. : )
*tax penalty, whatever, you got it I think.
I remember one time I was Johnny carson, and he mentioned his son had committed suicide, and then he played this song to photograph’s his passed away son had taken. I was actually touched and moved by this song, and someone missing something
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3c_8VUL5jks
*I was watching Johnny Carson
Interesting Bayesian analysis of effectives of spread of Covid-19 based upon various social controls..
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0244177
should say, …control of the spread of Covid-19 based upon various Covid-19 social policies.
should say, “Interesting Bayesian analysis of the control of the spread of Covid-19 based upon various Covid-19 social policies.”
Latin American countries have recorded 4 of the 13 highest and 6 of the 24 highest number of coronavirus cases among all countries. Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Chile.
Mexico, with more than 1.4 million cases recorded, has the 4th highest number of cases among Latin American countries and the 13th highest number of cases among all countries. Peru, with more than 1 million cases, has the 5th highest number of cases among Latin American countries and the 18th highest number among all countries. Mexico was the 4th among all countries to have recorded more than 100,000 and 120,000 coronavirus deaths.
December 30, 2020
Coronavirus (Deaths per million)
US ( 1,057) *
Brazil ( 909)
Argentina ( 951)
Colombia ( 839)
Mexico ( 956)
Peru ( 1,133)
Chile ( 859)
Ecuador ( 789)
Bolivia ( 777)
* Descending number of cases
December 30, 2020
Coronavirus (Deaths per million)
Belgium ( 1,667)
Italy ( 1,218)
Spain ( 1,084)
UK ( 1,066)
US ( 1,057)
France ( 985)
Mexico ( 956)
Switzerland ( 874)
Sweden ( 861)
Luxembourg ( 784)
Austria ( 681)
Portugal ( 671)
Netherlands ( 660)
Greece ( 460)
Ireland ( 448)
Canada ( 408)
Germany ( 395)
Denmark ( 216)
India ( 107)
Finland ( 100)
Norway ( 80)
Australia ( 35)
Japan ( 27)
Korea ( 17)
New Zealand ( 5)
China ( 3)
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-12/10/c_139579119.htm
December 10, 2020
Changes in most uninhabitable area: understanding China’s fight against poverty
— Xihaigu was labeled the “most unfit place for human settlement” by the United Nations in the 1970s. Xihaigu’s triumph over destitution, after reeling under poverty for centuries and carrying the tag of the most uninhabitable area on earth, offers a window into China’s achievements in its war against poverty.
— In Xihaigu, one collective memory is the lack of water. The average water resources per person in Xihaigu is only one 22th of the country’s average.
— The whole area of Xihaigu has bid farewell to extreme poverty, with all the nine counties and districts in the area delisted from the national poverty list. Xihaigu’s current population is 2.4 million and all people live in places close to water diversion canals with easy access to water.
By Ai Fumei, Fang Ning and Xie Jianwen
YINCHUAN — Xihaigu, an arid land in northwest China’s Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, was one of the country’s most impoverished areas until recent years.
Now the whole area has bid farewell to extreme poverty, with all the nine counties and districts in the area delisted from the national poverty list.
Xihaigu’s triumph over destitution, after reeling under poverty for centuries and carrying the tag of the most uninhabitable area on earth, offers a window into China’s achievements in its war against poverty.
Xihaigu was labeled the “most unfit place for human settlement” by the United Nations in the 1970s due to land reclamation, drought and fragile ecological environments. But, through the government and people’s relentless efforts, the region has shaken off all such tags.
In the 1980s, when China implemented its first large-scale program for development-oriented poverty relief in the northwestern regions, Xihaigu was included.
Since then, technology, fundings, professional personnel and consistent policy supports have helped sustained development in the region.
Pooling their wisdom, people in Xihaigu and aid workers succeeded in realizing both social development and ecological rehabilitation.
MOVING OUT AND DIVERTING IN
Less than 30 years ago, people in Xihaigu barely had enough to eat and the spell of poverty marred the region.
Xihaigu’s population grew rapidly between 1953 and 1995. Its population density was thrice the maximum carrying capacity of dry land as defined by the United Nations, official data showed.
Thus, the discrepancy in natural resources and population called for bold efforts to redress the balance.
Ningxia launched six large-scale relocation projects, moving some 1.23 million people from Xihaigu to more habitable areas, areas closer to irrigation canals.
Nationwide, resettlement has helped poor people build new homes, find jobs, and forge a better future for their children.
In Xihaigu, one collective memory is the lack of water. As a local poet once wrote: “When cutting a grain of sand in half in Xihaigu, one half groans with thirst and the other moans in hunger.”
To eradicate poverty, finding stable water sources for drinking and irrigation is a must.
Official data shows the average water resources per person in Xihaigu is only one 22th of the country’s average. Many village names carry people’s wishes for more water, such as Hanjiaoshui Village, meaning “crying for water” in Chinese.
Since the 1970s, a series of water diversion projects have been rolled out in the region, channeling water from the Yellow River and its tributary Jinghe River to Xihaigu.
By the end of 2019, almost all rural households in Xihaigu had access to potable water. Cisterns, water buckets, and water-carrying donkeys were no longer household necessities.
Xihaigu’s current population is 2.4 million and all people live in habitable places with easy access to water.
PAIRING-UP BRINGS INDUSTRIES …
The Chinese are meticulous about monitoring and testing for coronavirus infections. Infections that are detected, whether asymptomatic or symptomatic, are immediate followed by quarantine and contact tracing. Cold-chain imports are tested for the coronavirus, with cold-chain imports registered for product tracing when necessary. The Chinese will routinely close a community when a case is detected, with mass testing used in the community to be sure the infected is contained.
The Chinese careful efforts have severely limited infections. Daily data reported by China are precise. I track the data, with many others.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202012/1211516.shtml
December 31, 2020
Recent sporadic COVID-19 outbreaks in China traced to imported sources
Recent sporadic cases taking place in Beijing, Northeast China’s Shenyang, Dalian and Southwest China’s Chengdu, were all found to come from abroad after epidemiological investigation and virus gene sequencing analysis, according to Chinese authorities on Thursday.
As of Wednesday, Shenyang in Liaoning had registered 16 confirmed COVID-19 patients plus two imported silent carriers amid a recent outbreak starting from December 23 — with 16 cases all related to an imported patient surnamed Yin who entered China on November 29 from South Korea, according to the Health Commission of Shenyang on Thursday.
The 67-year-old woman entered China on November 29 from South Korea and was released from quarantine on December 13; however, she showed symptoms on December 22 and was confirmed with COVID-19 later, according to the local authority.
The individual case spread faster because the incubation period of the patient was longer than normal, but there’s no evidence indicating the virus is a new fast spreading variant, Wang Peiyu, deputy head of Peking University’s School of Public Health, told the Global Times on Thursday.
Dalian city authorities said on the same day that this wave of COVID-19 cases starting from December 15 was triggered by imported sources from overseas after virus gene sequencing analysis. On December 15, four new asymptomatic cases of COVID-19 were reported in Dalian; they worked as loaders in a cold-chain import company….