Bloomberg consensus 2.7%, GDPNow 2.3% as of today. Jim Hamilton comments on the release tomorrow.

Figure 1: GDP (teal bars), Q4 is GDPNow, and monthly GDP (black line), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA 2023Q3 3rd release, Atlanta Fed, S&PGMI January 2 release, and author’s calculations.