Betting on US Troops in Iran by Year’s End: 59%

From Polymarket just now:

Source: Polymarket accessed 4 March 2026, 4:30pm CT.

Previous spike to $62 due to “whatever it takes” remark by Mr. Trump.

Current betting is 70% chance of cease-fire by end-June.  War Powers Act requires withdrawal of troops within 60-90 days of commencement of hostilities (end-May), unless Congress acts.

 

 

2 thoughts on “Betting on US Troops in Iran by Year’s End: 59%

  1. Macroduck

    We’re talking to Kurdish forces in and near Iran about air, intelligence and logistics support if they’ll handle ground operations.

    ‘Cause that always works out so well for them.

    Reply
  2. Baffling

    Locked in a refinance at 5.5% last week. Dont think it goes lower soon unless economy collapses or ww3 breaks out. Cash flow improves greatly for the month.
    Anybody else find it interesting that noem would not answer yes or no on sleeping with lewandowski while under oath? Especially while living in coast guard quarters.

    Reply

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