I see a good case for this, but also some big things to worry about.
Category Archives: financial markets
Guest Blog: Financial Crisis and Reform Déjà Vu
By Simon van Norden
Today, we’re fortunate to have Simon van Norden, Professor of Finance at HEC Montréal (École des Hautes Études Commerciales), as a guest blogger.
“Once you’ve seen one financial market crisis…you’ve seen one financial market crisis.”
— Attributed to Federal Reserve Board Governor Kevin Warsh by former US Treasury Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy Phillip Swagel in The Financial Crisis: an Inside View, March 2009, p. 4.
Reflections on the Causes and Consequences of the Debt Crisis of 2008
From “Reflections on the Causes and Consequences of the Debt Crisis of 2008,” in the La Follette Policy Report by Menzie Chinn and Jeffry Frieden:
In late 2008, the world’s financial system seized up. Billions of dollars worth of financial assets were frozen in place, the value of securities uncertain, and hence the solvency of seemingly rock solid financial institutions in question. By the
end of the year, growth rates in the industrial world had gone negative, and even developing country growth had declined sharply.
Good news on house prices
I was happy and surprised to see that the nominal
S&P/Case-Shiller seasonally adjusted Home Price Index rose by 0.75% in June for a composite of 20 U.S. metropolitan areas.
Replay of 1930?
We know the glass is both half empty and half full. But the real question is whether liquid is being added in or draining out.
Paying for design flaws
Updates on what this is going to cost you and me.
Pricing of interest rate risk in fed funds futures contracts
Do current fed funds futures prices signal a belief by market participants that the Fed may begin raising interest rates early next year? My latest
research paper
suggests not.
Looking for an exit: Part 2
In my previous post I commented on Ben Bernanke’s recent communication of the Fed’s exit strategy for getting its balance sheet and daily operations back to historical norms. I suggested that one necessary ingredient to convince the public that we will see a return to a stable monetary regime would be a credible explanation of how the United States government will be able to meet its enormous current and implicit future fiscal obligations. Today I’d like to discuss a second element that I feel is missing from the exit strategy articulated by Bernanke, and this is a compelling vision of what a healthy financial market not propped up by the Treasury and the Fed would look like.
Links for 2009-07-17
Some quick remarks about the evidence for economic recovery, central bank independence, and Goldman Sachs.
Guest Contribution: Index Funds and Commodity Prices… Here We Go Again
By Scott Irwin
Econbrowser is pleased to host another contribution from Scott Irwin, who holds the Laurence J. Norton Chair of Agricultural Marketing at the University of Illinois, and today offers some insights from his research on the current debate concerning commodity speculation.