Where to Find Business Cycle Chronologies for Countries

Using (roughly) the Burns-Mitchell-NBER approach. Incomplete listing, focused on those updated over time, by agencies, firms, or other organizations. (update of post 12.6.2021). This list seems relevant as Canada records two consecutive quarters of negative growth, French Q1 growth is revised to a small negative, and one Q2 nowcast for Euro Area is negative as of today. ECRI, a common source for business cycle chronologies, has not to my knowledge declared a turning point since the end of the pandemic-related recessions.

For single economies:

Cross country:

The methodologies differ, with varying degrees of judgmental input and input series; some observations in this post. In Chinn and Ferrara (2024), we relied upon the ECRI chronologies. There are numerous other approaches, including for the US Jim Hamilton’s time series approach applied to GDP [latest announcement].

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