What can one read from asset responses to “news”
Author Archives: Menzie Chinn
Learning (or non-learning) from the Classical Age
Or, what if George W. Bush had lived in 480 BCE; would we all be speaking Persian?
Does a new economic team mean a new economic policy?
Henry Paulson has been nominated to the position of Secretary of Treasury. Will it matter?
The Euro, the Dollar and Globalization
Thinking about some big global macro issues
Gambling on Trade
In 2001, the Bush Administration set in motion the machinery to impose tariffs on steel imports. The purported reason was to secure fast track (trade negotiating) authority. How does that gamble look five years later?
Exchange rate pass through and dollar decline
Is there a direct relationship running from a change in the dollar’s value and import and export prices and thence to consumer prices?
Energy futures as predictors
Many publications use energy futures as proxy measures for market expectations of future energy prices. Does this procedure make sense?
Is dollar depreciation a separate policy channel for trade balance adjustment?
The dollar is on the decline…more or less. Will this cause the long awaited adjustment?
March 2006 trade balance figures
Oil imports in the spotlight
The portfolio balance effect and reserve diversification
Implications from the debate over the Renminbi. And the Won. And the…