Reader Anonymous was skeptical that previous correlations between deaths, hospitalization and ICU shown in this post use would continue to hold, specifically, in a first differences specification:
Category Archives: health care
Guest Contribution: “Vaccination Mandates Are Not Government Over-reach”
Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version appeared at Project Syndicate.
Correlations
Suppose the historical correlations between the 7 day moving average of covid deaths and hospitalizations and ICU beds holds. What does that imply for future trends in covid related deaths?
Taking the Value of a Statistical Life Calculation Seriously
It’s often said that economists know the price of everything and the value of nothing. Well, here goes anyway.
“omicron is a dud”
That’s one assessment of the impact on markets. Certainly in terms of public health impacts, that’s not true.
Latest Statistics on Covid-19 Hospitalizations, Fatality Rates, and Speculation
From NYT, today.
Delta Impact
Decelerating Florida Economic Activity thru 7/31 and Covid-19 Fatalities Rising
Florida is decelerating faster than the US, according to the Baumeister et al. Weekly Economic Conditions Index (discussed in this post) just released today.
CDC Ensemble Model Ups Predicted Florida Weekly Deaths
Compare the CDC ensemble forecast released today, as compared to that generated the previous week and discussed in this post.
If Hospitalizations Lead Fatalities: Prospects for Florida
With large shares of populations vaccinated, case counts are no longer a good predictor of fatalities arising from Covid-19. Hospitalization might prove better (and ICU hospitalizations even better). The statistics do not augur well, particularly for Florida.