Category Archives: Uncategorized

Disposition of Forces in Kherson Oblast, 28 Nov 2022

Here’s a picture from late yesterday:

Source: as of 28 Nov, militaryland.net, accessed 29 Nov 2022.

Remember the question a skeptical JohnH asked on 9/2/2022, about the Ukrainian offensive? Here’s the answer:

Looks like the betting is on Democratic control.

By simple addition of bets on 50 seats or less for Republicans — at 1030am Eastern Time, from PredictIt:

As of 23:00 hrs (GMT+2) on 10/31 (Militaryland.net):

Reader JohnH asserts:

LNG is the US’ third largest export and fastest growing.

Monthly indicators followed by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, plus GDP and GDO, plus IHS-Markit (nee Macroeconomic Advisers) monthly GDP:

That’s the question a skeptical JohnH asked 7 weeks ago, about the Ukrainian offensive. The answer seems to be “pretty well”.

The Federal Forecasters Consortium conference took place a month ago, but the video links are now up,

Morning announcements and Fred Joutz Retrospective (Fred discussion starts at 17:50) [slides]
Invited Panel Session Dr. Baoline Chen (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis), Dr. Neil Mehrotra (U.S. Department of the Treasury), Dr. Jason Schachter (U.S. Census Bureau), moderated by Neil R. Ericsson (Federal Reserve Board).
Special Afternoon Session: Simple vs. Complex Chaired by Kevin Dubina. “Thinking through the pros and cons” by Anne Morse; “Evidence from Forecasting Competitions” by Neil R. Ericsson; “Why do projections?” by Maria Hussain