Author Archives: Menzie Chinn

Gains and Losses from Trade with China

From the conclusion to a provocative paper by David Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon Hanson, entitled The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States:

our study suggests that the rapid increase in U.S. imports of Chinese goods during the
past two decades has had a substantial impact on employment and household incomes, benefits
program enrollments, and transfer payments in local labor markets exposed to increased import
competition. These effects extend far outside the manufacturing sector, and they imply substantial
changes in worker and household welfare.

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The March Employment Situation Release

From Reuters:

U.S. employment recorded a second straight month of solid gains in March and the jobless rate fell to a two-year low of 8.8 percent, underscoring a decisive shift in the labor market that should help to underpin the economic recovery.

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Dispatches (XI): Walker Administration Interprets the Law

With update, wherein the Walker Administration complies with the third temporary restraining order.

From the Wisconsin State Journal:

State officials say they will move forward with Wisconsin’s controversial collective bargaining law, despite a judge’s order barring its implementation — and a threat of sanctions against anyone who violates it.

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Exports, Growth Prospects and Rebalancing

Exports in Context

Anybody who follows forecasts of GDP growth for 2011Q1 will notice that over time, estimates have been revised down (this is true for Macroeconomic Advisers, for instance). The dimmed prospects for GDP growth throws in high relief the importance of net exports. From the WSJ, “Foreign Shocks Temper America’s Export-Led Rebound”:

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Bloggers Beware! (If You Work at a State University in Wisconsin)

From The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel:

The Republican Party of Wisconsin has made an open records request for the emails of a University of Wisconsin professor of history, geography and environmental studies in an apparent response to a blog post the professor wrote about a group called the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC).

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“Renminbi Going Global”

That’s the title of a new working paper by Xiaoli Chen (Shandong University) and Yin-Wong Cheung (UCSC). Readers might recognize Cheung as a co-author with G. Ma and R. McCauley on a 2010 BIS paper, discussed in this May 2010 Econbrowser post, and just published in Pacific Economic Review. For anybody who is interested in the latest developments in the Chinese government’s attempts to internationalize the Renminbi, this is essential reading. From the summary of the paper.

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National Journal: Ag Committee Supports Cuts to Food Assistance, Not Farm Subsidies

From National Journal (h/t Ezra Klein):

The House Agriculture Committee endorsed a letter this week to Budget Chairman Paul Ryan arguing that the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, which helps low-income Americans purchase food, would make a better target for cuts than automatic subsidies to farms.

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Musing about Shocks and Trends in an Era of Production Fragmentation

Yesterday’s NYT article, Crises in Japan Ripple Across the Global Economy noted:

In the wake of Japan’s cascading disasters, signs of economic loss can be found in many corners of the globe, from Sendai, on the battered Japanese coast, to Paris to Marion, Ark.

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Dispatches (X): The Economic Impact of Governor Walker’s Plans

And Walker (Still) Plans No-Bid Sales of Power Plants, the $7.5 million worth of damages to the Capitol building becomes $347,000 (maybe), and the expanding politicization of the civil service.

Economy-wide Impacts

From Wisconsin State Journal:

Gov. Scott Walker’s plans to balance the state budget by cutting spending and public workers’ take-home pay will slow the state’s economic recovery, according to projections by a UW-Madison economist.

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Coordinated Forex Intervention “Works”

From Reuters:

A coordinated move by central banks of rich nations to stabilize the yen’s value appeared to be having a decisive effect on Friday, after a sharp rise in the yen after Japan’s devastating earthquake and nuclear crisis raised fears about the global economy.

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