NY Fed, Atlanta Fed, St. Louis Fed, and IHS Markit released nowcasts today.

Continue reading →

On Oct 12, 7-8:30pm Central:

Moderator: Susan Webb Yackee — director of the La Follette School of Public Affairs
Panelists:

• Menzie Chinn — professor of public affairs and economics
• Mark Copelovitch — professor of political science, public affairs, and international relations
• Tana Johnson ’01 — associate professor of public affairs and political science
• Jon Pevehouse — Vilas Distinguished Professor of Political Science: International Relations

Register here.

The Hill (posted at 3:01 EDT):

President Trump said Tuesday that he has instructed his top aides to stop negotiating with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) on future coronavirus stimulus legislation until after the November election.

The Dow Jones:

Headline from Politico. From today’s trade release for August:

Figure 1: US trade balance, bn. $, SAAR (blue, left scale), as a share of GDP (red, right scale). Light orange shading denotes Trump administration. Nominal GDP interpolated quadratic match. Source: BuCensus/BEA via FRED, BEA, and author’s calculations.

College re-opening or disdain for masks…or both! From WSJ:

Some public-health officials say they suspect that the large number of socially inclined students returning to the state at the end of August and start of September worked in tandem with another dynamic: a large number of state residents who don’t wear masks, they say, because many communities don’t require them or don’t enforce orders requiring them.

Continue reading →

A Panel presented by UW–Madison’s La Follette School of Public Affairs and WisPolitics.com (October 2), video here.

Continue reading →

When each Week, Peak Excess Deaths Gets Pushed Further Out

Continue reading →

From Torsten Slok, now at Apollo.

Continue reading →

A reasonable person could ask why, if we’ve done such a superb job of managing the crisis in the US, we’ve done so poorly vis a vis Canada. From FT, today.

Continue reading →

September 22, 2020

We the undersigned express our support for the economic principles and policies of Joe Biden. While each of us has different views on the particulars of various economic policies, we believe that Biden’s overall economic agenda will improve our nation’s health, investment, sustainability, resilience, employment opportunities, and fairness and be vastly superior to the counterproductive economic policies of Donald Trump.

Throughout the coronavirus crisis, Biden has recognized that science-based, public health solutions are critical not only to saving lives, but to any viable strategy to restore economic confidence, recovery, and jobs. Similarly, on issue after issue, Biden’s economic agenda will do far more than Donald Trump’s to increase the economic strength and well-being of our nation and its people. Simply put, Biden’s policies will result in economic growth that is faster, more robust, and more equitable.

Signed by 13 recipients of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences:

• George Akerlof – Professor, Georgetown University McCourt School of Public Policy

• Peter Diamond – Professor Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

• Oliver Hart – Professor, Harvard University

• Eric Maskin – Professor, Harvard University

• Daniel McFadden – Professor, University of California, Berkeley and University of Southern California

• Roger Myerson – Professor, University of Chicago

• William Nordhaus – Professor, Yale University

• Edmund Phelps – Professor and Director of the Center on Capitalism and Society,Columbia University

• Paul Romer – Professor, New York University

• Robert Solow – Professor Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

• Michael Spence – Professor and Dean Emeritus, Stanford Graduate School of Business

• Joseph Stiglitz – Professor, Columbia University

• Richard Thaler – Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business

Link to pdf.