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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Report of the National Research Council on “Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years”

What do the scientists (in peer reviewed journals) say about global warming?

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This entry was posted on July 30, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Slower second quarter growth

As expected, GDP growth slowed significantly in the second quarter.

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This entry was posted on July 28, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Seasonal adjustment and new home sales

How significant is the housing slowdown? Answering requires separating the seasonal from the cyclical factors.

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This entry was posted on July 27, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

A Dynamic Analysis of Permanent Extension of the President’s Tax Relief

The press account surrounding the Mid Session Review (MSR) (page 3-4) noted the preferred estimate of GNP response to the President’s tax proposals: real GNP might be 0.7 percent higher than steady state baseline. The Treasury’s Office of Tax Analysis has just released the underlying analysis.

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This entry was posted on July 25, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Reading the yield curve

What are the implications of the current shape of the yield curve?

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This entry was posted on July 24, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

The Gamble Fails: Doha talks collapse

The Bush Administration’s quid pro quo of early-on steel protectionism in exchange for fast track negotiating authority for the Doha Round seems like a bad bet (May 24) in retrospect.

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This entry was posted on July 24, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

A long term perspective on differential approaches to fiscal policy

Or, over the past quarter century, have Democrats and Republicans acted differently?

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This entry was posted on July 23, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

That’s one way to raise those campaign dollars

A California lawyer tells doctors that they should not expect to be asked to testify in workers’ compensation trials unless they contribute $2,500 to Phil Angelides’ campaign for governor.

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This entry was posted on July 21, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

(Non) transparency of GWOT expenditures, and an update on Iraq metrics

While the events in Lebanon and Gaza have pushed Iraq off center stage, Iraq and Afghanistan remain the largest fiscal drains on the U.S. Treasury and the military’s ability to respond to other strategic challenges. In this light, GAO Comptroller David Walker’s testimony on Tuesday [pdf] is both illuminating and depressing. From the Summary:

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This entry was posted on July 20, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Bernanke’s latest testimony

A more optimistic assessment from the Fed chair than I had been expecting.

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This entry was posted on July 19, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Econbrowser faces the data: (since  April 30, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 7.7 (describes  2025:Q4)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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