Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

The Fed speaks and markets listen

Tim Iacono at The Mess That Greenspan Made had some interesting graphs this week.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on July 2, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

All eyes on housing

Mark Thoma notes that the most recent FOMC statement has changed from declaring growth is “likely to moderate” to “Recent indicators suggest that economic growth is moderating”. The first stages of the long-anticipated cooling of the housing market certainly appear to be here now.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 30, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

A Budgetary Counterfactual

What if we had not cut taxes for the richest and increased discretionary spending faster than the rate of inflation?

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 29, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Energy independence

A reader writes, “Can you provide for readers of Econbrowser a range of estimates for the price of crude oil at which the US would be self-sufficient in the present and near future?”

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 28, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

More on the Costs of Energy Dependence

Quantification is the first step in assessing the proper course of action

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 27, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

EPA report on boutique fuels

There is a curious difference between the EPA report on boutique fuels that was actually released by the EPA and the account in the mainstream press.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 24, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Measuring the import component of U.S. exports

In order to export in a competitive market, we need to import

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 22, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Oil market predictions

Cambridge Energy Research Associates seems to be substantially less optimistic than they were a year ago.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 21, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Some Iraq cost metrics on a one year anniversary

Evaluating the costs one year after Cheney’s prediction of “the last throes …of the insurgency”

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 20, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Inflation and the Fed

Certainly the recent inflation data have been– Dave Altig says
insert something negative here, so I’ll just say “unwelcome”. But when Fed Chair Ben Bernanke declared that’s exactly the way he sees it, too, markets stood up and took notice. Let’s review some of the dramatic market adjustments that have occurred since Bernanke’s June 5 remarks.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 18, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Post navigation

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on X

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • Reconciling AI Expected Revenues to CapEx
  • Mr. Trump on the US-Iran War
  • The Employment Release and Business Cycle Indicators
  • The Term Spread As Recession Predictor, Post-2024
  • Business Cycle Indicators: Real GDP, Personal Income Trajectory Revised Up

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since  April 30, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 7.0 (describes  2026:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress