Federal debt held by the public as a share of GDP:
Category Archives: budget
CEA: “Tariffs as a Major Revenue Source: Implications for Distribution and Growth”
Released today by CEA:
Divergence in Interest Rate Projections
CBO projection and SPF mean forecast diverge, by nearly a percentage point in 2024.
CRFB at TGTCPL (at UW Madison)
Mike Murphy of the Center for a Responsible Federal Budget gave a presentation at UW’s Tommy G.Thomson Center for Public Leadership, yesterday. I couldn’t attend, but the video is here.
CRFB has handy tool for gaming out modifications to current law to see the impact on the deficit and debt (w/o dynamic scoring). It’s so nifty, in fact, I assigned it to my undergrad public affairs course.
Guest Contribution: “Seeking Sustainability in U.S. Debt”
Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version appeared at Project Syndicate.
The Budget Balance to GDP Ratio: Actual & Cyclically Adjusted
From CBO today:
“Fiscal Recovery Act of 2023”: Macro Impact, Micro Evidence
Federal Debt to GDP – When Did It Jump? Where Is It Going Now?
Regardless of gross or net, at par or market value, as a ratio to GDP or potential GDP, the answer is pretty obvious.
CDS Spreads on One Year Treasurys
Market anxiety rose three weeks ago, and remains elevated.
So You Want to Slow Down Debt Accumulation …(while exempting Social Security and Tax Increases)
Center for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) has an app for you to try it out, here.