From PredictIt, just one hour into the debate:
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Economic Sentiment and Confidence in August
Conference Board’s Confidence Index exceeds consensus (103.3 > 100.9), with July index revised up. Here’re August readings for confidence, sentiment and news.
Spreads in the Meatpacking Industry: Beef
Here’s the time series on beef farm-to-wholesale spread, in 1982-84$.
Cliff Winston: “The Microeconomics of Donald Trump”
“Economists for Trump”
In 2020, list here.
The Partisan Split in August Sentiment
Michigan 67.8 vs 66.7. Big jump in expectations 72.1 vs. 68.5 (as opposed to current situation).
Scariest Paragraph for Applied Econometricians in Project 2025
From Mandate for Leadership, aka Project 2025, page 664:
At It Again: “Donald Trump promises an ‘economic boom’ if he wins US election”
Russia GDP Slowdown in Q2: 4% y/y Growth
From BOFIT today (as translated by Google):
Naval Deployments as of 8/12/2024
From the US Naval Institute: