In 2020, list here.
Category Archives: Uncategorized
The Partisan Split in August Sentiment
Michigan 67.8 vs 66.7. Big jump in expectations 72.1 vs. 68.5 (as opposed to current situation).
Scariest Paragraph for Applied Econometricians in Project 2025
From Mandate for Leadership, aka Project 2025, page 664:
At It Again: “Donald Trump promises an ‘economic boom’ if he wins US election”
Russia GDP Slowdown in Q2: 4% y/y Growth
From BOFIT today (as translated by Google):
Naval Deployments as of 8/12/2024
From the US Naval Institute:
Kursk 2024 – Update 8/15/2024
From MilitaryLand.
Podcast: On the Macroeconomy, and on Wisconsin
Me, interviewed with Buzz Kemper, on BadgerTalks, recorded on 8/6 (Episode 44).
Russia M/M Inflation at 1.1% in July
As reported by the Rosstat, via TradingEconomics:
Prediction Markets: RCP Average Flips
The RealClearPolitics betting average has typically lagged PredictIt, which flipped on 7/31. RCP’s betting average flipped on August 8, and now looks like this (approx 11:24 CT):