Last week, I wrote a post examining what the measures of central tendency for the dollar’s trajectory were, based upon some standard forecasts. This week, I want to examine more closely whether we should anticipate more depreciation, in real terms, by way of discussing alternative measures of the dollar’s value.
The Administration Finds Fiscal Restraint
From the White House OMB on Saturday:
More on the new mortgage plan
While the plan may not be as big a deal as we thought, the problem still is.
Some questions about the new mortgage plan
Part of this plan sounds like an unambiguously good idea. But most of the coverage I’ve seen is ignoring what should be the key questions.
Is the Dollar Near the Bottom?
Some analysts think so.
November auto sales down modestly
Weakness in autos, but it’s not as bad as it could be.
Has Industrial Production Peaked?
And what would it mean if it had?
The White House and Other Economic Forecasts
On Thursday, the White House released its new forecasts. How does it compare against other forecasts?
Risk premia creeping higher
Since Halloween, financial markets seem to be getting spooked again.
New GDP figures
How bad can things be with almost a 5% growth rate of the real economy?