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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Another energy bill

If it’s summer, it must be time for another energy bill, for which the Senate seems to have followed the strategy of Captain Renault to round up the usual suspects.

One nice thing when Congress keeps coming up with the same old ideas is that it allows us pundits to save energy by recycling our old comments on CAFE standards, ethanol mandates, and anti-gouging legislation.

This entry was posted on June 22, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Econoblog on interest rates

I was pleased to participate in the latest
Wall Street Journal Econoblog

with Mark Zandi, Chief Economist and co-founder of Moody’s Economy.com. Here’s a brief preview of what you can
find over at the WSJ.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on June 22, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Thinking about import prices, the dollar, and inflation

Some delayed reflections on the May import/export price release, and how to interpret the data in light of the empirics of exchange rate pass through.

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This entry was posted on June 20, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Slipping a little

I wouldn’t read too much into the new starts, permits, and sentiment data, but I don’t take them as very encouraging.

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This entry was posted on June 20, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Rejoice! The 2006 current account to GDP ratio has been revised up by 0.3 percentage points

There’s a temptation to view the upward revision to the current account balance, and the components thereof, as yet more evidence that the US external situation is in better shape than commonly perceived.

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This entry was posted on June 18, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Oil shale hits a freeze

Don’t count on running your Hummer on gasoline from oil shale just yet.

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This entry was posted on June 17, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

More on those rising interest rates

Rising rates look scary, but I still read it as good news.

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This entry was posted on June 17, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Lessons from the yield curve

The dramatic upward move of long-term interest rates gives me an opportunity to look back on some of the predictions made on the basis of the inversion of the yield curve, and what might be in store next.

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This entry was posted on June 14, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Keeping China’s Yuan in Perspective

The Treasury released its report International Economic and Exchange Rate Policies yesterday. As expected, the Treasury declined to declare China a currency manipulator. On the same day, four senators submitted legislation to tie Treasury’s hands in terms of the actions it can take against countries with “misaligned” currencies.

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This entry was posted on June 14, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Reconciling the BED, CES, and birth/death employment data

There has been some discussion recently about discrepancies between different government estimates of the state of the labor market. Although a legitimate issue has been raised, there has also been a bit of misunderstanding.

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This entry was posted on June 12, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

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James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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