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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Relief on oil supplies

We’re finally starting to see signs of gains in global oil production.

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This entry was posted on November 27, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Budget Deficit Watch: Receipts Stabilize, Deficit Fails to Shrink

Reader CoRev, in commenting on this post, advises me to look at the actual data for October (instead of the CBO estimate) before declaring a trend deterioration in the budget balance. Well, the data are out.

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This entry was posted on November 25, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Oil and the dollar

The dollar falls and oil prices go up. So the two must be related, right?

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This entry was posted on November 24, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Why do some economists blog? (Policy edition)

Several people have asked why economists blog. Here are a couple random thoughts centered on individual characteristics.

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This entry was posted on November 23, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae back in the news

So how worried should you be?

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This entry was posted on November 21, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

So now you know

As part of its ongoing efforts at helping the public understand exactly what its intentions might be, the Federal Reserve today released more detailed minutes of its October 30-31 meeting that included the Fed’s expectations for what comes next.

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This entry was posted on November 20, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

The Credit Card Bill Comes Due (International Version)

The nation borrowed from the rest-of-the-world when interest rates were low. But interest rates can adjust. So can exchange rates. What to think of our creditors re-appraisal of the “right” effective interest rate to lend to us?

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This entry was posted on November 20, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

The challenge of depletion

Where’s that large, unprecedented buildup of oil supply when you really need it?

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This entry was posted on November 19, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

Tales from the Tails of the WSJ Forecast

The interesting aspects of the survey of forecasts conducted by the Wall Street Journal (data here) are not in the means (or medians), but in the tails.

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This entry was posted on November 17, 2007 by Menzie Chinn.

Trusting the birth/death model

Ray Stone of Stone & McCarthy Research Associates has some interesting observations on the quality of the payroll employment numbers released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

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This entry was posted on November 16, 2007 by James_Hamilton.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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