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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

What happens to the dollar when interest rates stop rising?

Further predictions of secular dollar weakness, from a portfolio balance perspective

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This entry was posted on June 15, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Oil supply and demand

Five weeks ago, I wondered whether oil prices might have peaked at $75 a barrel. Time to take a look at some of the data that have come in since then.

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This entry was posted on June 14, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

The economic impact of a disruption to container trade

Congress acts — to cut funds for port security

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This entry was posted on June 13, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Hawk or dove?

The pundits continue to be frustrated in their efforts to pigeonhole the Federal Reserve Chair.

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This entry was posted on June 10, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

April 2006 Trade Balance Figures

Where the ex. oil trade balance is going, and what trade prices are doing.

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This entry was posted on June 9, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Here and there around the web

A few items catching my eye around the web this week, including probability of recession, progress on refining capacity, and Greg Mankiw and his dog.

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This entry was posted on June 8, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

The dollar and interest rate expectations

What can one read from asset responses to “news”

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This entry was posted on June 7, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Saudi oil production

There’s something fishy about the story in Monday’s Wall Street Journal.

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This entry was posted on June 6, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Bernanke tells it like it is

Once again I recommend the most recent statement of our Federal Reserve Chair as some of the finest economic analysis you will find anywhere.

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This entry was posted on June 6, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Learning (or non-learning) from the Classical Age

Or, what if George W. Bush had lived in 480 BCE; would we all be speaking Persian?

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This entry was posted on June 5, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Econbrowser faces the data: (since  April 30, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 7.7 (describes  2025:Q4)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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