How concerned should we be?
How Mobile Is Capital Internationally?
The issue of international capital mobility comes up time and time again. There is the worry of capital and associated production capacity moving abroad to China for lower wage rates, and if not to China, to the rest of the world to escape environmental regulations or to avoid corporate taxation. So how mobile is capital?
New home sales continue to fall
No question about it, the housing downturn is here now, and it’s big.
Opportunity cost illustrated
On a one year anniversary, a look back to (one of the reasons) why the National Guard’s post-Katrina rescue and recovery efforts were hampered.
Dating business cycle turning points
Thanks much to Menzie for holding down the fort while I was away last week. Now that I’m back, I’d like to weigh in on the issue of when did the recession of 2001 begin, a topic on which Menzie, Greg Mankiw, Steve Verdon, Michael Mandel, and Brad DeLong all commented last week.
Does Manufacturing Matter? An Update
Manufacturing employment is down. So is the manufacturing share of output. And so is the estimated tradable share of output. Consequently, as the Economist noted recently, adjustment to a smaller current account deficit might be difficult.
The yield curve: Mid-August 2006
What to make of the newest inversion?
The 2001 recession revisited
With revised data, when did the last recession begin?
Are we winning the war against the budget deficit?
The Congressional Budget Office released its update on the budget outlook today. What’s the message behind the message?
A closer look at the US-China trade figures…and more on the RMB
The Renminbi (RMB) is probably undervalued, according to some criteria. Would adjusting it fix the US-China trade deficit? Or the overall US trade deficit?