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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

First Tranche of Weapons to Ukraine; Seizing Russian Assets?

From Bloomberg: Upon signing the foreign assistance bill, this is what’s heading to Ukraine first tranche ($1bn):

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This entry was posted on April 24, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Wisconsin Economic Activity thru March

Continues to rise, according the the Phildaelphia Fed’s coincident index, just out. The divergence with GDP continues to persist.

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This entry was posted on April 24, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Chinese GDP in Q1

Official is 5.3% y/y (consensus 4.8%), vs BOFIT 4.3%.

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This entry was posted on April 23, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Stephen Moore: “If you liked what Trump did on the economy the first time, you’ll like what he does the second time”

From Peter Coy, in NYT:

 

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This entry was posted on April 22, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

The Value of the Chinese Yuan: Down 15% since 2022M03

There’s been a lot of discussion of overcapacity in Chinese production, and the resulting pressures in US and other markets. Here’s a picture of the Chinese real exchange rates.

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This entry was posted on April 22, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Have Wisconsin Inflation Adjusted Total Wages and Salaries Risen since 2021Q1?

Yes, using either Chained CPI, or East North Central CPI:

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This entry was posted on April 22, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Should Wisconsinites Trust the JEC-Republicans State Inflation Tracker?

I’m not sure what it brings to the debate (see PolitiFact Wisconsin,  WisconsinWatch).

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This entry was posted on April 21, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Real Median Household Income for March

From Motio Research:

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This entry was posted on April 21, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Wisconsin Economic Activity and Inflation

Latest employment, coincident indices:

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This entry was posted on April 20, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Business Cycle Indicators, Mid-April

Industrial production continues to rise, while February monthly GDP erased January’s decline.

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This entry was posted on April 18, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 6.8 (describes  2024:Q4)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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