Skip to content

Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Trump Nominates EJ Antoni to BLS Commissioner

2 Replies

From CNBC:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 11, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Banking on Data Center Investment

4 Replies

Let’s hope capex investment in data centers is sustained.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 11, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Cryptocurrencies and the political economy of money”

3 Replies

Today we are pleased to present a guest contribution by Mark Copelovitch (University of Wisconsin – Madison) and Thomas Pepinsky (Cornell University).


Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 11, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Stock Market Capitalization ex-Magnificent 7

6 Replies

Courtesy of Ed Yardeni:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 10, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Equipment and Structures Investment

3 Replies

We’re about halfway into Q3. Nowcasts put equipment and structures investment — particularly forward looking investment — at near flat relative to Q2.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 10, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

If You Believe the CPS Employment Series Turns Down before the CES, Be Afraid

2 Replies

Personally, I’m not convinced, but if you are, then consider this graph:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 9, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

What Other BLS Commissioners Should’ve Been Fired (But Weren’t) Using the Trump Criterion?

1 Reply

Here’re other prior 2 month cumulative revisions, normalized by employment (after all, the country has been growing for the past 100 years):

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 9, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Core Inflation Nowcasts and Tracking

3 Replies

From Cleveland Fed, Goldman Sachs, plus Bloomberg consensus – generally, acceleration in the q/q annualized:

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 8, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Miran to Fed: What Are His Views?

6 Replies

Lots of stories regarding the impact of CEA Chair’s temporary appointment to the vacancy at the Fed Board. For an insight into Dr. Miran’s views, here’s a list of his peer reviewed articles.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 8, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

“And you want to be my latex salesman?” (BLS edition) [updated 8/9/25]

5 Replies

I hear that Bannon is pushing Heritage Chief Economist EJ Antoni for BLS Commissioner.

Continue reading →

This entry was posted on August 7, 2025 by Menzie Chinn.

Post navigation

← Older posts

Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Folow us on Twitter

  • James Hamilton
  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • Trump Nominates EJ Antoni to BLS Commissioner
  • Banking on Data Center Investment
  • Guest Contribution: “Cryptocurrencies and the political economy of money”
  • Stock Market Capitalization ex-Magnificent 7
  • Equipment and Structures Investment

Categories

Archives

Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

Proudly powered by WordPress