Judgment, theory and correlations in exchange rate modeling.
Author Archives: Menzie Chinn
The downward march of the trade balance
Some context for the the latest trade deficit numbers
Do (budget) deficits matter?
Thinking about what happens to interest rates when foreign capital inflows slow
Where Do All Those Numbers Come From
Are we adequately funding knowledge about the economy?
Just how implausible is a gasoline tax?
New poll results on energy
A Critique of Pure Dark Matter
Net income on the balance of payments might be essentially zero in 2005q4
Tackling “Oil Addiction”?
Cognitive Dissonance in the 2006 Economic Report of the President
Open Economy Macro in the 2006 Economic Report of the President
Beryl Sprinkel meets Ben Bernanke
Dick Cheney on economics
The vice president holds forth on the elasticity of tax receipts with respect to the tax rate.
December 2005 trade figures and implications
The trade deficit (total and ex-oil) widens again.