Instantaneous below y/y:
Category Archives: inflation
Non-Inflation Release Items: Oil, Urals, Gas Prices, Inflation Expectations, China Deflation
Oil prices, Urals vs. Brent, gasoline prices weekly thru yesterday, one-year-ahead y/y inflation forecasts, and China in deflation (again).
The Inflation Surge Forecasted (Or Not)
Time for a retrospective on how the various surveys are doing on forecasting year-on-year CPI inflation.
The Foreign Born Labor Force
and wages in food processing:
Year-on-Year PCE Price Inflation and Some Trend Measures
Instantaneous, instantaneous core, and trimmed mean m/m.
A Decomposition of Per Unit Price Inflation in Nonfinancial Corporate Sector, through 2023Q3
For nonfinancial corporate business sector, using price per unit real gross value added.
One Year Ahead Inflation Expectations
And what’s up with the University of Michigan survey measure?
Price Level for the Carnivore’s Breakfast/Commute
In one picture. Prices of bacon, eggs, coffee lower than a year ago October, and gasoline lower than a year ago week ending November 13 (all normalized to July 1983=100).
Guest Contribution: “Does the Fed Deserve Credit for the Disinflation?”
Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version appeared at Project Syndicate.
Instantaneous Inflation in October
Core PPI flat, vs. +0.3% m/m consensus. Here’re instaneous core CPI and PPI inflation (per Eeckhout):