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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Hendrix and Noland, “Assessing Potential Economic Policy Responses to Genocide in Xinjiang”

From Cullen Hendrix and Marcus Noland at Peterson Institute for International Economics, “Assessing Potential Economic Policy Responses to Genocide in Xinjiang” – Economic Policy Responses:

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This entry was posted on June 28, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

Wisconsin GDP in Q1

Wisconsin GDP has recovered largely in line with the US, but the bifurcation in economy remains.

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This entry was posted on June 27, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

Business Cycle Indicators as of June 27

Personal income and consumption for May were released last week, as well as the April manufacturing and trade industry sales figure.

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This entry was posted on June 27, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

Assessing Market Forecasts of Inflation (at 5 Year Horizon)

Joseph E. Gagnon and Madi Sarsenbayev at the Peterson Institute for International Economics have an interesting article on whether economists or markets are better at forecasting. They write:

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This entry was posted on June 25, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

GDP by State, 2021Q1

BEA released figures today. From the release:

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This entry was posted on June 25, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

Trade Sanctions on Use of Forced Labor in China

From Reuters:

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This entry was posted on June 23, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

Lumber Prices

A wild ride for futures means…

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This entry was posted on June 22, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

The Delta Variant and Prospects for Economic Activity

From Washington Post:

The unusually contagious delta coronavirus variant, first found in India, could become the dominant strain in the United States this summer, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention director Rochelle Walensky said Friday.

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This entry was posted on June 20, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

The Five Year Inflation Breakeven, the S&P500 and the Dollar

The S&P 500 dropped 1.3% on Friday; many accounts attributed the drop to Fed statements indicating an accelerated pace of rate hikes (especially Bullard’s comment), presumably in response to prospects for higher than previously anticipated inflation. Interestingly, market indicators on Friday are not supportive of that interpretation.

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This entry was posted on June 19, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

Wisconsin Economic Activity in May

Employment numbers for May were released for today.

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This entry was posted on June 17, 2021 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 11.7 (describes  2025:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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