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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

California gas price spike

Californians who bought gasoline on Friday experienced an unpleasant shock.

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This entry was posted on October 7, 2012 by James_Hamilton.

Average Monthly Employment Growth Revised Up

With the September employment release, average monthly employment figures over the last four months is 120.5 thousand, versus the three month average as of the August release of 94 thousand. Furthermore, taking into account the preliminary benchmark revision for March 2012, one sees that not only is the trajectory higher, so too is the level of employment.

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This entry was posted on October 5, 2012 by Menzie Chinn.

At Long Last, One Member of the 47% Where He Belongs!

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Source: Salon

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This entry was posted on October 4, 2012 by Menzie Chinn.

Keynesians in the Congressional Research Service!

Or, more accurately, non-New Classicals in the CRS

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This entry was posted on October 4, 2012 by Menzie Chinn.

Natural gas for transportation

As President Obama and Governor Romney prepare for the first presidential debate this evening, I thought I would offer my vision of where our nation’s leaders should try to take the country.

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This entry was posted on October 3, 2012 by James_Hamilton.

Imminent Recession?

So says David Malpass in the WSJ:

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This entry was posted on October 1, 2012 by Menzie Chinn.

“Lost Decades”: Reality versus the Fantasy of Easy Fixes

The paperback edition of Lost Decades is officially released as of today.

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This entry was posted on October 1, 2012 by Menzie Chinn.

Benchmark Revisions and Nonfarm Payroll Employment since January 2009

The BLS released preliminary annual benchmark revisions for March 2012. Nonfarm payroll series and private nonfarm payroll series, in logs, normalized to 2009M01, are shown below; adding on the revised levels for March 2012 yields the series shown in red.

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This entry was posted on September 27, 2012 by Menzie Chinn.

The Employment Situation in Governor Walker’s Wisconsin in 2012: “Grim”

From IHS-Global Insight, “U.S. Regional – Perspective Article: Swing States: Wisconsin,” 9/24/2012:

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This entry was posted on September 27, 2012 by Menzie Chinn.

China’s economic slowdown

As Niels Bohr (and others) observed, prediction is difficult, especially about the future. But if the challenge is predicting the number of 20-year-olds 5 years from now, you can get a pretty darn good start if you know the number of 15-year-olds right now.

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This entry was posted on September 26, 2012 by James_Hamilton.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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