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Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

New research on the current account adjustment process

Insights on how global current account imbalances might be resolved

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This entry was posted on May 1, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

More political pandering

Those whose political philosophy is to try to opt for the lesser of two evils may have a hard time choosing their dog in the fight between Senate Democrats and Republicans over gasoline taxes.

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This entry was posted on April 30, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

New Research on the Sources of Current Account Deficits

Some excerpts from a recent conference on Current Account Sustainability in Major Advanced Economies

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This entry was posted on April 29, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Strong first-quarter GDP growth

The expected strong 2006:Q1 GDP growth included encouraging numbers for investment and exports, and warranted a slight drop in the recession probability index.

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This entry was posted on April 28, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

President Bush and gasoline prices

Unlike some other pundits, I see a number of good ideas in the President’s new proposals and actions announced on Tuesday.

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This entry was posted on April 27, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Contango, speculation, and the price of oil

Lynne Kiesling (Knowledge Problem),
John Whitehead
(Environmental Economics)
,
Stephen Ayer
(Disinterested Party)
, and whoever that is blogging over at Oil Wars were among those commenting on this article ($$ required) at the Wall Street Journal.

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This entry was posted on April 26, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

The Debate over the Impact of the Budget Deficit on the Current Account Deficit

What does the empirical literature say?

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This entry was posted on April 25, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Who’s afraid of $3 gasoline?

Does the expected strong 2006:Q1 GDP report mean that the economy will shrug off the recent resurgence of gas prices?

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This entry was posted on April 24, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Is the Renminbi (Rmb) undervalued in price terms? Does it matter if it is?

With the visit of President Hu to the United States, Chinese currency misalignment is at the top of the agenda. What is “misalignment”?

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This entry was posted on April 20, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Oil goes higher and higher

The NYMEX May 2006 crude futures contract closed today above $71.

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This entry was posted on April 18, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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