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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Twin deficits redux

On the current account deficit, “We have met the enemy, and he is us”.

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This entry was posted on October 4, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

And they all lived happily ever after

Can high-flying stocks be reconciled with an inverted yield curve? David Rosenberg of Merrill Lynch, via Felix Salmon and Business Week thinks “it is highly doubtful that both asset classes can be getting the story right.” But here’s one scenario under which both markets in fact might be telling the same story.

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This entry was posted on October 3, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

It’s not such a small world after all (and it’s getting bigger)

Taking a break from recession talk, I discuss some aspects of the progress of economic integration highlighted in a paper by Bergin and Glick presented at a SCCIE–JIMF conference on Financial and Commercial Integrations.

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This entry was posted on October 2, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Pending home sales up

The National Association of Realtors released favorable news today on pending home sales.

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This entry was posted on October 2, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

The great gasoline price conspiracy

Have you heard the latest explanation for how President Bush contrived to lower gasoline prices in time for the election?

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This entry was posted on October 1, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Amaranth hedge fund losses

How in the world did hedge fund Amaranth Advisors manage to lose $6 billion in September on natural gas trading?

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This entry was posted on September 29, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Seasonals in new home sales

New home sales could be worse. But don’t overlook the seasonals and the fundamentals.

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This entry was posted on September 27, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Further reflections on productivity and compensation trends

Another way to look at the relationship between productivity and real compensation.

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This entry was posted on September 26, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

Environmental totalitarianism

What do Russia and California have in common?

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This entry was posted on September 24, 2006 by James_Hamilton.

Two Pictures and Prospects for the Dollar

The dollar weakens. Why? For how long? Against Whom?

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This entry was posted on September 21, 2006 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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