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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Wisconsin Macro Conditions and Economic Sentiment

Joe Schulz of WPR: “The economy is the top issue for Wisconsin voters, but most have a negative view”:

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This entry was posted on May 10, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

In Recession? Real Time vs. Final Revised Data

Di Martino Booth points to the McKelvey rule, which uses a 0.3 ppt threshold instead of the Sahm 0.5 ppt threshold. This indicator does seem to signal a recession as shown in the figure below.

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This entry was posted on May 9, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Legislative Fiscal Bureau (Aug 2017): “August 2017 Special Session Assembly Bill 1: Foxconn/Fiserv Legislation”

Here’s the entire Legislative Fiscal Bureau document on Foxconn (since links to original site do not work in my previous post “Wisconsin FoxConned by Walker et al.”:

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This entry was posted on May 9, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Russia Slows, Struggles to Supply the War Effort

From BOFIT:

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This entry was posted on May 8, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Brad Setser: “Power and Financial Interdependence”

New Ifri paper:

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This entry was posted on May 8, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Wisconsin FoxConned by Walker et al.

On the day in which President Biden announced the repurposing of the site that was to be Foxconn’s, I reprint this 2017 assessment.


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This entry was posted on May 8, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

May 2024 Short Term Energy Outlook: WTI, gasoline prices

From EIA (May 7, 2024):

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This entry was posted on May 8, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

The Wisconsin Macroeconomy: Latest Available Readings

Some data, as President Biden visits (CNN):

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This entry was posted on May 8, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

Tracking Wisconsin Manufacturing: Did Tariffs Help?

In a recent Milwaukee Journal Sentinel article (via Pulitzer) Rick Barrett notes “Manufacturing is coming home” to Wisconsin. Does the data support this?

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This entry was posted on May 7, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

“Der Dollar bleibt König”

From FAZ:

Der Euro und der Renminbi können in ihrer internationalen Bedeutung nicht mit dem Dollar wetteifern. Die amerikanische Währung bleibt an den Finanzmärkten der Maßstab.

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This entry was posted on May 7, 2024 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Recent Posts

  • Business Fixed Investment ex-IIP and Policy Uncertainty
  • Real Time Civilian Employment past Peak?
  • The Age of Angst? Macro Implications
  • Trade Policy Uncertainty before July 9
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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since Apr 30,2025)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 6.8 (describes  2024:Q4)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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