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Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

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EconoFact at Five

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Tomorrow, January 20th, EconoFact celebrates its 5 year anniversary, providing non-partisan, incisive analyses on timely and important economic and social policy issues. It does so by bringing to the public debate the expertise of leading economists and social scientists via memos and podcasts.

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This entry was posted on January 19, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

“Covid Impact and Macroeconomic Policy in Asia”

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That’s the title of a presentation at the ASSA meetings (YouTube video of the presentation is here) in the ACAES panel “Covid and Recovery in Asia” (see below). Calla Wiemer presented, and I discussed. [Updated 1/19, links to slides added]

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This entry was posted on January 18, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

Employer Power in Labor Markets, Measured

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In recent exchange [1], some exhibited skepticism that monopsony power exists in labor markets. A recent article documents evidence that manufacturers exhibit such power. From Yeh (2022):

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This entry was posted on January 18, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

Global Economic Prospects – January 2022

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From the World Bank report:

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This entry was posted on January 17, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

Correlations

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Suppose the historical correlations between the 7 day moving average of covid deaths and hospitalizations and ICU beds holds. What does that imply for future trends in covid related deaths?

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This entry was posted on January 17, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

Taking the Value of a Statistical Life Calculation Seriously

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It’s often said that economists know the price of everything and the value of nothing. Well, here goes anyway.

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This entry was posted on January 16, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

US Exports in the Wake of the Trade War

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Compiling graphs for a trade course, and lo what did I see:

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This entry was posted on January 16, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

More on the “omicron dud”

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Following up on “omicron is a dud” – From CDC, forecasted deaths of 10 January 2022:

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This entry was posted on January 16, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

“omicron is a dud”

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That’s one assessment of the impact on markets. Certainly in terms of public health impacts, that’s not true.

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This entry was posted on January 15, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

US Inflation and Chinese Imports

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One reason why inflation exceeded my estimates from earlier this year is the price of imports. Since 2020M02, goods import prices from China have risen 5.3%, after declining 5.8% over the preceding six years. The dollar depreciated by 9.4% over the same period, implying a exchange rate pass-through coefficient of 0.56.

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This entry was posted on January 14, 2022 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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Recent Posts

  • EconoFact at Five
  • “Covid Impact and Macroeconomic Policy in Asia”
  • Employer Power in Labor Markets, Measured
  • Global Economic Prospects – January 2022
  • Correlations

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