And a funny choice of citations.
Category Archives: economic growth
Guest Contribution: “Uncertainty and business investment in the UK after the Brexit”
Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Laurent Ferrara (Adjunct Professor of Economics, University Paris Nanterre, France). The views expressed here are those solely of the author.
“Tooth Fairies and Ludicrous Supply-Side Economics”
That’s how Larry Summers described the growth forecasts underpinning the Trump budget released today. And I can’t really disagree, regarding the medium to longer term forecasts.
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The slowdown in U.S. economic growth
The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced yesterday that U.S. real GDP grew at a 1.9% annual rate in the fourth quarter, well below the historical average of 3.1% per year, but close to the 2.1% average since the recovery from the Great Recession began in 2009:Q3.
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Making American Growth Great (by Spaceology*)
From the Trump-Pence website:
DONALD J. TRUMP’S VISION
…
Boost growth to 3.5 percent per year on average, with the potential to reach a 4 percent growth rate.
Q3 GDP
The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced yesterday that U.S. real GDP grew at a 2.9% annual rate in the second quarter. That’s below the historical average U.S. growth rate of 3.1% per year. Even so, this was the best report in the last two years.
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More Drumpfarmegeddon Tabulation
Earlier on, Moody’s Analytics took on the task of determining the likely impact of implementing the Trump economic pronouncements (tax cuts for the wealthy, massive deficit spending, increased defense spending, spending cuts on other discretionary components, and revocation of free trade agreements). Oxford Economics has taken up the task of evaluating the more recent incarnations of his pronouncements (to call it a “plan” is giving it too much credence).
Beyond Bivariate: Modeling Quarterly Kansas GDP
How to — and not do — time series analysis
Guest Contribution: “Trump’s Fiscal Brainstorm: Cut Taxes for the Rich”
Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. This is an extended version of a column that appeared at Project Syndicate.
Recession Watch, August 2016
The implications of the tradables sector, the dollar, and Fed policy.