Food for thought over the long weekend.
Category Archives: international
The Opening of the American Macroeconomy and the Implications for Monetary Policy
Or, why I think Governor Brainard is right to say it’s too soon to tighten.
How Are Emerging Markets Responding to Anticipated US Tightening?
Just back from England and a couple of presentations, one at the CCBS on the Trilemma and monetary policy spillovers. Here are three graphs, related to the presentation, which illustrate how policymakers in different emerging market countries are responding to the stresses their economies are undergoing.
Guest Contribution: “TPP Critics’ Nighttime Fears Fade by Light of Day”
Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at Harvard University, and former Member of the Council of Economic Advisers, 1997-99. A shorter version appeared at Project Syndicate.
Debt, Devaluation, Trade, and More
Those were some of the topics covered at the West Coast Workshop on International Finance and Open Economy Macroeconomics, held last Friday on the beautiful UC-Santa Cruz campus, co-organized by Helen Popper (Santa Clara University), Michael Hutchison (UC Santa Cruz), and Carl Walsh (UC Santa Cruz).
Economic importance of China
How important would an economic downturn in China be for the United States?
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Yuan Undervaluation?
As noted in The Hill, from a letter written by key House and Senate leaders to President Obama:
The continued misalignment of China’s currency is unsustainable and unacceptable.
Guest Contribution: “The 30th Anniversary of the Plaza Accord”
Today we are fortunate to have a guest contribution written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at Harvard University, and former Member of the Council of Economic Advisers, 1997-99.
Liftoff: Empirical Assessment of the Implications for the Dollar
I have been stressing the international implications of a potential interest rate increase as a rationale for deferring monetary tightening. Export growth is slowing and economic activity in the tradables sector (manufacturing output, manufacturing employment) as the dollar has appreciated. [1] [2] How much more appreciation should we expect should the Fed tighten?
Manufacturing, the Dollar and Implications for Monetary Policy
One of the bits of information in the employment release was a decline in manufacturing employment. When added to declining exports and stagnant manufacturing output growth, the case for near-term monetary policy tightening seems more tenuous to me.